TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Martin Biolek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118811911411––
Rostislav Niezgoda
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMartin Biolek to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Biolek above · Rostislav Niezgoda below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 73 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Martin Biolek at 55.8%
73 points played in total.
H2H Martin Biolek 11–8 Rostislav Niezgoda Rostislav Niezgoda has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Niezgoda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-8 in 19
Biolek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Biolek 1927 vs Niezgoda 1800
Biolek
Wrong
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Biolek 80% vs Niezgoda 40%
Biolek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Biolek 60% vs Niezgoda 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Biolek +2 · Niezgoda -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Niezgoda) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Niezgoda form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBiolek 2.00 / Niezgoda 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Biolek)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13158777
Biolek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog56% won 45 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back39% 14 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Niezgoda1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 7 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBiolek5wins
AwayNiezgoda5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBiolek62.5%5 of 8
AwayNiezgodan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Biolek8Niezgoda2n = 10Biolek took 8 of 10
S2Biolek3Niezgoda7n = 10Niezgoda took 7 of 10
S3Biolek5Niezgoda5n = 10split evenly
S4Biolek3Niezgoda4n = 7Niezgoda took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBiolekNiezgodaB − NBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match35.433.7+1.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBiolekNiezgodaBasisWin rate · lifetime237 / 424 vs 11 / 1955.9%57.9%237 / 424 vs 11 / 19Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.941.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NiezgodaBiolek 2.00/Niezgoda 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Niezgoda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Niezgoda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 20:00M. Biolek32118941R. Niezgoda4181111113
WSep 19 · 12:00M. Biolek471141011113R. Niezgoda3611112662
LApr 10 · 17:02M. Biolek30671161R. Niezgoda4111118113
LApr 10 · 16:30M. Biolek361191061R. Niezgoda3951112113
WApr 3 · 16:30M. Biolek4111811113R. Niezgoda27511381
WMar 24 · 19:30M. Biolek4211811123R. Niezgoda295113101
LMar 21 · 17:00M. Biolek148330R. Niezgoda331111113
WMar 10 · 22:10M. Biolek331111113R. Niezgoda228950
WMar 10 · 20:00M. Biolek331111113R. Niezgoda144370
LMar 3 · 18:30M. Biolek46121165122R. Niezgoda551091111143
M. Biolek10
WSep 20 · 19:30T. Dousek2.2011961152M. Biolek1.61511117113WSep 20 · 18:00M. Biolek1.611111113R. Polasek2.206930LSep 19 · 17:29J. Szotkowski1.731111113M. Biolek2.004840WSep 19 · 16:00T. Dousek2.25111011392M. Biolek1.57912611113WSep 19 · 15:00T. Zika3.759980M. Biolek1.251111113LSep 19 · 14:30M. Biolek1.8041040J. Szotkowski1.911112113LSep 19 · 13:30J. Szotkowski2.00111114113M. Biolek1.73641671WSep 19 · 12:00M. Biolek2.001141011113R. Niezgoda1.7311112662LSep 19 · 11:30J. Szotkowski2.001111113M. Biolek1.736560WSep 19 · 10:00M. Biolek1.4481111113T. Zika2.63115431
R. Niezgoda10
LSep 20 · 19:00R. Polasek3.25311611123R. Niezgoda1.33117119102LSep 20 · 18:30R. Niezgoda1.736111110102T. Dousek2.00114712123WSep 19 · 13:00R. Niezgoda1.671111113T. Zika2.106730LSep 19 · 12:00M. Biolek2.001141011113R. Niezgoda1.7311112662WSep 19 · 11:00T. Zika2.2011711782R. Niezgoda1.61711811113LSep 19 · 10:30R. Niezgoda2.1010111191J. Szotkowski1.6712136113WSep 17 · 17:30J. Dzida1.917117121R. Niezgoda1.8011511143WSep 17 · 16:30R. Niezgoda2.001114911113T. Zika1.7361611852LSep 17 · 15:00R. Niezgoda1.83153991J. Szotkowski1.83131111113WSep 17 · 14:00J. Dzida1.8351111111R. Niezgoda1.8311913133
Upcoming Matches
M. Biolek
R. Niezgoda
Nothing scheduled
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