TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Rostislav Niezgoda
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
61111411710121012
Tomas Dousek
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:35 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeRostislav Niezgoda to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRostislav Niezgoda above · Tomas Dousek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 94 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Rostislav Niezgoda at 56.4%
94 points played in total.
H2H Rostislav Niezgoda 2–1 Tomas Dousek Tomas Dousek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:35What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Niezgoda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Niezgoda 1824 vs Dousek 1850
Dousek
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Niezgoda 60% vs Dousek 80%
Dousek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Niezgoda 50% vs Dousek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Niezgoda +1 · Dousek +3
Dousek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Niezgoda) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dousek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNiezgoda 1.73 / Dousek 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Niezgoda)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13158874
Niezgoda1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 19)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 7 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Dousek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 36 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back30% 15 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeNiezgoda2wins
AwayDousek1wins
Niezgoda leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Niezgoda2Dousek1n = 3Niezgoda took 2 of 3
S2Niezgoda2Dousek1n = 3Niezgoda took 2 of 3
S3Niezgoda2Dousek1n = 3Niezgoda took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricNiezgodaDousekN − DBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match34.330.3+4.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNiezgodaDousekBasisWin rate · lifetime10 / 16 vs 257 / 48362.5%53.2%10 / 16 vs 257 / 483Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match41.239.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NiezgodaNiezgoda 1.73/Dousek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Niezgoda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dousek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 16 · 18:00R. Niezgoda3811114123T. Dousek335711101
WSep 14 · 21:30R. Niezgoda351311113T. Dousek1911530
LSep 14 · 19:00R. Niezgoda30581161T. Dousek3911116113
R. Niezgoda10
LSep 20 · 19:00R. Polasek3.25311611123R. Niezgoda1.33117119102WSep 19 · 13:00R. Niezgoda1.671111113T. Zika2.106730LSep 19 · 12:00M. Biolek2.001141011113R. Niezgoda1.7311112662WSep 19 · 11:00T. Zika2.2011711782R. Niezgoda1.61711811113LSep 19 · 10:30R. Niezgoda2.1010111191J. Szotkowski1.6712136113WSep 17 · 17:30J. Dzida1.917117121R. Niezgoda1.8011511143WSep 17 · 16:30R. Niezgoda2.001114911113T. Zika1.7361611852LSep 17 · 15:00R. Niezgoda1.83153991J. Szotkowski1.83131111113WSep 17 · 14:00J. Dzida1.8351111111R. Niezgoda1.8311913133LSep 16 · 21:28R. Niezgoda1.9111812692T. Zika1.807111011113
T. Dousek10
LSep 20 · 19:30T. Dousek2.2011961152M. Biolek1.61511117113WSep 20 · 17:29M. Navedla2.3811571132T. Dousek1.53511119113WSep 20 · 16:00T. Dousek1.53891111113J. Pilch2.3811114862WSep 20 · 15:30M. Grundel2.2571450T. Dousek1.571116113LSep 20 · 14:00T. Dousek1.50118681M. Navedla2.5091111113WSep 19 · 16:59T. Dousek1.67911117123T. Zika2.10119611102LSep 19 · 16:00T. Dousek2.25111011392M. Biolek1.57912611113LSep 19 · 15:30J. Szotkowski1.911111113T. Dousek1.803330WSep 19 · 14:00T. Dousek1.50741113113T. Zika2.50111191162WSep 16 · 21:03T. Dousek1.28111110113R. Polasek3.50361281
Upcoming Matches
R. Niezgoda
Nothing scheduled
T. Dousek
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