TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Matyas Navedla
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115511711119311
Tomas Dousek
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingMatyas Navedla above · Tomas Dousek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 84 set 5, 3-11
84 points played in total.
H2H Matyas Navedla 7–16 Tomas Dousek Matyas Navedla has won 7 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Navedla beat Dousek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Dousek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Navedla form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNavedla 2.38 / Dousek 1.53
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Dousek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13165867
Navedla2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 130 of 312
Down 0–1, comes back24% 38 of 156
Down 0–2, comes back11% 8 of 72
Dousek1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 108 of 197
Up 2–0, closes it91% 50 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it76% 82 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNavedla5wins
AwayDousek5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNavedla60%3 of 5
AwayDousek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Navedla5Dousek5n = 10split evenly
S2Navedla7Dousek3n = 10Navedla took 7 of 10
S3Navedla7Dousek3n = 10Navedla took 7 of 10
S4Navedla3Dousek4n = 7Dousek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricNavedlaDousekN − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.735.1+1.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNavedlaDousekBasisWin rate · lifetime371 / 782 vs 256 / 48247.4%53.1%371 / 782 vs 256 / 482Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DousekNavedla 2.38/Dousek 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.8%
Dousek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dousek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 14:00M. Navedla4291111113T. Dousek33118681
LSep 14 · 20:00M. Navedla381213581T. Dousek47101511113
WSep 7 · 13:30M. Navedla4071111113T. Dousek29116841
WSep 7 · 11:30M. Navedla341111123T. Dousek2798100
LAug 26 · 12:30M. Navedla33811591T. Dousek3611311113
LAug 24 · 09:28M. Navedla4111119372T. Dousek49971111113
LAug 24 · 07:30M. Navedla3872111172T. Dousek44111147113
LAug 14 · 13:06M. Navedla351041291T. Dousek44121110113
WAug 14 · 11:00M. Navedla331111113T. Dousek237790
WJul 3 · 13:30M. Navedla331111113T. Dousek199640
M. Navedla10
LSep 20 · 16:30M. Navedla2.0011981382M. Grundel1.739111111113WSep 20 · 15:00M. Navedla2.00981112113J. Pilch1.73111191042WSep 20 · 14:00T. Dousek1.50118681M. Navedla2.5091111113WSep 19 · 21:00M. Navedla1.601111119113M. Cabis2.1081391132LSep 19 · 20:30P. Wawrosz1.73118116113M. Navedla2.0081171182LSep 19 · 19:30M. Navedla2.3881211942M. Vavrecka1.531110911113WSep 19 · 18:30M. Cabis1.44116861M. Navedla2.6351111113LSep 19 · 17:00M. Cabis1.7381111123M. Navedla2.001117101LSep 19 · 16:30M. Navedla2.10118991D. Tomica1.6771111113LSep 19 · 15:00M. Navedla2.006116141J. Pilch1.7311611163
T. Dousek10
WSep 20 · 16:00T. Dousek1.53891111113J. Pilch2.3811114862WSep 20 · 15:30M. Grundel2.2571450T. Dousek1.571116113LSep 20 · 14:00T. Dousek1.50118681M. Navedla2.5091111113WSep 19 · 16:59T. Dousek1.67911117123T. Zika2.10119611102LSep 19 · 16:00T. Dousek2.25111011392M. Biolek1.57912611113LSep 19 · 15:30J. Szotkowski1.911111113T. Dousek1.803330WSep 19 · 14:00T. Dousek1.50741113113T. Zika2.50111191162WSep 16 · 21:03T. Dousek1.28111110113R. Polasek3.50361281LSep 16 · 20:30T. Dousek1.80911111152R. Polasek1.91113139113WSep 16 · 19:00T. Dousek1.67811117113T. Zika2.1011581172
Upcoming Matches
M. Navedla
Nothing scheduled
T. Dousek
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