TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13161586
Played Sep 19Finished
Matyas Navedla
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181113119911113
Michal Cabis
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMatyas Navedla above · Michal Cabis below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 97 set 5, 11-3
97 points played in total.
H2H Matyas Navedla 26–37 Michal Cabis Matyas Navedla has won 26 of their 63 meetings.
They have already met 3 times today · last one 3h before this match
Navedla beat Cabis 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Navedla)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cabis form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNavedla 1.60 / Cabis 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Cabis)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13161586
Navedla1.60
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 44 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it90% 27 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it64% 30 of 47
Cabis2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 65 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back29% 24 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNavedla2wins
AwayCabis8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderCabis leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNavedla20%1 of 5
AwayCabis80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Navedla5Cabis5n = 10split evenly
S2Navedla4Cabis6n = 10Cabis took 6 of 10
S3Navedla3Cabis7n = 10Cabis took 7 of 10
S4Navedla2Cabis6n = 8Cabis took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricNavedlaCabisN − CBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.740.2−6.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNavedlaCabisBasisWin rate · lifetime368 / 778 vs 369 / 71047.3%52%368 / 778 vs 369 / 710Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NavedlaNavedla 1.60/Cabis 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Navedla · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Navedla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 18:30M. Navedla3851111113M. Cabis31116861
LSep 19 · 17:00M. Navedla291117101M. Cabis4281111123
LSep 19 · 14:00M. Navedla168440M. Cabis331111113
LJul 30 · 06:00M. Navedla341167101M. Cabis4171111123
LJul 20 · 20:30M. Navedla35813861M. Cabis44111111113
LJul 19 · 20:58M. Navedla4511911862M. Cabis51911911113
LJul 19 · 20:30M. Navedla3911118632M. Cabis48691111113
LJul 4 · 21:30M. Navedla4291011121M. Cabis4611129143
WJul 4 · 20:30M. Navedla4111118113M. Cabis33851191
LMay 7 · 12:30M. Navedla185760M. Cabis331111113
M. Navedla10
LSep 19 · 20:30P. Wawrosz1.73118116113M. Navedla2.0081171182LSep 19 · 19:30M. Navedla2.3881211942M. Vavrecka1.531110911113WSep 19 · 18:30M. Cabis1.44116861M. Navedla2.6351111113LSep 19 · 17:00M. Cabis1.7381111123M. Navedla2.001117101LSep 19 · 16:30M. Navedla2.10118991D. Tomica1.6771111113LSep 19 · 15:00M. Navedla2.006116141J. Pilch1.7311611163LSep 19 · 14:00M. Cabis1.571111113M. Navedla2.258440WSep 16 · 21:00L. Prikasky2.007790M. Navedla1.731111113LSep 16 · 20:00M. Navedla1.9161171112P. Wawrosz1.80119113113LSep 16 · 19:30M. Vavrecka1.53781211143M. Navedla2.381111105122
M. Cabis10
LSep 19 · 20:00M. Vavrecka2.1011117113M. Cabis1.67981181LSep 19 · 19:00P. Wawrosz2.1013118113M. Cabis1.671191161LSep 19 · 18:30M. Cabis1.44116861M. Navedla2.6351111113WSep 19 · 17:00M. Cabis1.7381111123M. Navedla2.001117101LSep 19 · 16:00M. Cabis1.806811101J. Pilch1.9111118123LSep 19 · 15:30D. Tomica1.73941111113M. Cabis2.0011116692WSep 19 · 14:00M. Cabis1.571111113M. Navedla2.258440LSep 14 · 17:00J. Szotkowski1.851111113M. Cabis1.806330LSep 14 · 16:00M. Biolek1.6111811123M. Cabis2.203116101LSep 14 · 15:00J. Dzida1.57111113113M. Cabis2.25791551
Upcoming Matches
M. Navedla
M. Cabis
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