TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13154383
Played Sep 19Finished
Pavel Wawrosz
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311119811116––
Michal Cabis
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:53 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Cabis to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavel Wawrosz above · Michal Cabis below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 80 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Michal Cabis at 57.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Wawrosz 7–9 Michal Cabis Pavel Wawrosz has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:53What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Cabis
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-9 in 16
Cabis
Wrong
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wawrosz 1781 vs Cabis 1803
Cabis
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wawrosz 40% vs Cabis 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wawrosz 50% vs Cabis 30%
Wawrosz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wawrosz -2 · Cabis -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Cabis) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cabis form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWawrosz 2.10 / Cabis 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Cabis)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13154383
Wawrosz2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 47 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back35% 15 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back19% 4 of 21
Cabis1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 115 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it93% 55 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it76% 74 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWawrosz4wins
AwayCabis6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderCabis leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWawrosz66.7%4 of 6
AwayCabis100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wawrosz6Cabis4n = 10Wawrosz took 6 of 10
S2Wawrosz3Cabis7n = 10Cabis took 7 of 10
S3Wawrosz3Cabis7n = 10Cabis took 7 of 10
S4Wawrosz2Cabis5n = 7Cabis took 5 of 7
S5Wawrosz2Cabis1n = 3Wawrosz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricWawroszCabisW − CBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.639.9−4.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWawroszCabisBasisWin rate · lifetime224 / 446 vs 369 / 70850.2%52.1%224 / 446 vs 369 / 708Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CabisWawrosz 2.10/Cabis 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Cabis · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wawrosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 2 · 19:30P. Wawrosz411411881M. Cabis4416611113
LJul 27 · 17:30P. Wawrosz31124871M. Cabis43101111113
LJul 27 · 14:00P. Wawrosz44115126102M. Cabis506111011123
LJul 24 · 07:00P. Wawrosz146440M. Cabis331111113
WJul 19 · 17:30P. Wawrosz4011126113M. Cabis367101181
WJul 19 · 14:00P. Wawrosz49116118133M. Cabis43411611112
WJul 11 · 10:00P. Wawrosz45126115113M. Cabis45101181152
LJul 9 · 18:30P. Wawrosz204880M. Cabis331111113
WJul 9 · 14:00P. Wawrosz4111118113M. Cabis33781171
LJun 27 · 19:30P. Wawrosz31713110M. Cabis391115133
P. Wawrosz10
LSep 19 · 18:00M. Vavrecka1.80611411113P. Wawrosz1.9111811792LSep 18 · 13:30R. Revay1.85561111113P. Wawrosz1.8511119892WSep 18 · 12:30J. Pilch1.83211571P. Wawrosz1.8311411113LSep 18 · 11:30P. Wawrosz1.8341181172R. Revay1.83119118113WSep 18 · 10:30T. Zika1.67912711112P. Wawrosz2.101110119133WSep 18 · 09:29R. Revay1.9171111992P. Wawrosz1.80119411113WSep 18 · 08:30P. Wawrosz2.0061111113R. Polasek1.73117421LSep 18 · 07:00P. Wawrosz1.806117161R. Revay1.9111311183WSep 18 · 06:00T. Zika1.73129111072P. Wawrosz2.001011812113LSep 17 · 13:00J. Szotkowski1.441111113P. Wawrosz2.639470
M. Cabis10
LSep 19 · 18:30M. Cabis1.44116861M. Navedla2.6351111113WSep 19 · 17:00M. Cabis1.7381111123M. Navedla2.001117101LSep 19 · 16:00M. Cabis1.806811101J. Pilch1.9111118123LSep 19 · 15:30D. Tomica1.73941111113M. Cabis2.0011116692WSep 19 · 14:00M. Cabis1.571111113M. Navedla2.258440LSep 14 · 17:00J. Szotkowski1.851111113M. Cabis1.806330LSep 14 · 16:00M. Biolek1.6111811123M. Cabis2.203116101LSep 14 · 15:00J. Dzida1.57111113113M. Cabis2.25791551LSep 14 · 14:30M. Cabis2.00751181J. Szotkowski1.7311119113WSep 12 · 21:29M. Cabis2.101111113D. Opanasiuk1.679580
Upcoming Matches
P. Wawrosz
M. Cabis
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