TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13152984
Played Sep 19Finished
Michal Vavrecka
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611118411117119
Pavel Wawrosz
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:03 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timePavel Wawrosz to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Vavrecka above · Pavel Wawrosz below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 89 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Pavel Wawrosz at 55.5%
89 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vavrecka 26–34 Pavel Wawrosz Michal Vavrecka has won 26 of their 60 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:03What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vavrecka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-34 in 60
Wawrosz
Wrong
gap of 8 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vavrecka 1779 vs Wawrosz 1782
Wawrosz
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vavrecka 40% vs Wawrosz 60%
Wawrosz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vavrecka 50% vs Wawrosz 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vavrecka -1 · Wawrosz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vavrecka) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vavrecka form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavrecka 1.80 / Wawrosz 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vavrecka)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13152984
Vavrecka1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 16)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 139 of 274
Up 2–0, closes it87% 58 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it73% 103 of 141
Wawrosz1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 18)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 47 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back35% 15 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back19% 4 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVavrecka4wins
AwayWawrosz6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWawrosz leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVavrecka66.7%4 of 6
AwayWawrosz100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vavrecka6Wawrosz4n = 10Vavrecka took 6 of 10
S2Vavrecka4Wawrosz6n = 10Wawrosz took 6 of 10
S3Vavrecka8Wawrosz2n = 10Vavrecka took 8 of 10
S4Vavrecka2Wawrosz6n = 8Wawrosz took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVavreckaWawroszV − WBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.938.3−1.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavreckaWawroszBasisWin rate · lifetime1002 / 1981 vs 224 / 44550.6%50.3%1002 / 1981 vs 224 / 445Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavreckaVavrecka 1.80/Wawrosz 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vavrecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vavrecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 21:30M. Vavrecka30661171P. Wawrosz4111118113
LSep 16 · 18:30M. Vavrecka3810116111P. Wawrosz4512911133
WSep 14 · 12:30M. Vavrecka4111811113P. Wawrosz29611661
LSep 14 · 07:00M. Vavrecka387111191P. Wawrosz4411139113
LSep 6 · 20:30M. Vavrecka31117761P. Wawrosz4291111113
WSep 5 · 09:30M. Vavrecka391612113P. Wawrosz29141050
LSep 5 · 06:00M. Vavrecka4312711852P. Wawrosz451011211113
LAug 25 · 08:58M. Vavrecka3941112842P. Wawrosz511181011113
WAug 25 · 08:30M. Vavrecka3611311113P. Wawrosz34911681
WAug 23 · 16:00M. Vavrecka341112113P. Wawrosz2341090
M. Vavrecka10
LSep 16 · 21:30P. Wawrosz1.7311118113M. Vavrecka2.00661171WSep 16 · 20:30L. Prikasky1.8335100M. Vavrecka1.831111123WSep 16 · 19:30M. Vavrecka1.53781211143M. Navedla2.381111105122LSep 16 · 18:30P. Wawrosz2.0012911133M. Vavrecka1.7310116111LSep 15 · 13:30D. Opanasiuk1.571110117113M. Vavrecka2.2581271192LSep 15 · 12:30R. Polasek1.7391111133M. Vavrecka2.001166111WSep 15 · 11:30M. Vavrecka2.5011911113J. Szotkowski1.50811991WSep 15 · 10:30D. Opanasiuk1.61911871M. Vavrecka2.2011611113LSep 14 · 13:30R. Polasek1.8011116113M. Vavrecka1.90941181WSep 14 · 12:30P. Wawrosz2.00611661M. Vavrecka1.7311811113
P. Wawrosz10
WSep 19 · 19:00P. Wawrosz2.1013118113M. Cabis1.671191161LSep 18 · 13:30R. Revay1.85561111113P. Wawrosz1.8511119892WSep 18 · 12:30J. Pilch1.83211571P. Wawrosz1.8311411113LSep 18 · 11:30P. Wawrosz1.8341181172R. Revay1.83119118113WSep 18 · 10:30T. Zika1.67912711112P. Wawrosz2.101110119133WSep 18 · 09:29R. Revay1.9171111992P. Wawrosz1.80119411113WSep 18 · 08:30P. Wawrosz2.0061111113R. Polasek1.73117421WSep 16 · 21:30P. Wawrosz1.7311118113M. Vavrecka2.00661171WSep 16 · 18:30P. Wawrosz2.0012911133M. Vavrecka1.7310116111LSep 14 · 12:30P. Wawrosz2.00611661M. Vavrecka1.7311811113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.