TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13154369
Played Sep 19Finished
Michal Vavrecka
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119118711118––
Michal Cabis
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:53 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeMichal Cabis to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Vavrecka above · Michal Cabis below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 76 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Michal Cabis at 56.6%
76 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vavrecka 20–18 Michal Cabis Michal Cabis has won 18 of their 38 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:53What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Cabis
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-18 in 38
Vavrecka
Correct
gap of 2 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vavrecka 1780 vs Cabis 1790
Cabis
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vavrecka 80% vs Cabis 20%
Vavrecka
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vavrecka 60% vs Cabis 20%
Vavrecka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vavrecka +2 · Cabis -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Cabis) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cabis form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavrecka 2.10 / Cabis 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Cabis)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13154369
Vavrecka2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 144 of 329
Down 0–1, comes back24% 45 of 185
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 87
Cabis1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 115 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it93% 55 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it76% 74 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVavrecka4wins
AwayCabis6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderCabis leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVavrecka50%3 of 6
AwayCabis75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vavrecka6Cabis4n = 10Vavrecka took 6 of 10
S2Vavrecka6Cabis4n = 10Vavrecka took 6 of 10
S3Vavrecka3Cabis7n = 10Cabis took 7 of 10
S4Vavrecka3Cabis5n = 8Cabis took 5 of 8
S5Vavrecka1Cabis2n = 3Cabis took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVavreckaCabisV − CBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.239.5−2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavreckaCabisBasisWin rate · lifetime993 / 1963 vs 369 / 70950.6%52.1%993 / 1963 vs 369 / 709Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CabisVavrecka 2.10/Cabis 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Cabis · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vavrecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 07:00M. Vavrecka326111051M. Cabis4311912113
WAug 30 · 08:58M. Vavrecka3811124113M. Cabis399101191
WAug 30 · 06:00M. Vavrecka3951111123M. Cabis351168101
LAug 29 · 10:30M. Vavrecka47111161092M. Cabis46841112113
LAug 29 · 06:00M. Vavrecka36117991M. Cabis4291111113
WAug 28 · 10:30M. Vavrecka48117118113M. Cabis4471161192
LAug 28 · 06:00M. Vavrecka219660M. Cabis331111113
LAug 24 · 13:29M. Vavrecka331261051M. Cabis44101112113
LAug 24 · 10:00M. Vavrecka4561191182M. Cabis48118117113
WAug 13 · 11:30M. Vavrecka331111113M. Cabis219570
M. Vavrecka10
WSep 19 · 19:30M. Navedla2.3881211942M. Vavrecka1.531110911113WSep 19 · 18:00M. Vavrecka1.80611411113P. Wawrosz1.9111811792LSep 16 · 21:30P. Wawrosz1.7311118113M. Vavrecka2.00661171WSep 16 · 20:30L. Prikasky1.8335100M. Vavrecka1.831111123WSep 16 · 19:30M. Vavrecka1.53781211143M. Navedla2.381111105122LSep 16 · 18:30P. Wawrosz2.0012911133M. Vavrecka1.7310116111LSep 15 · 13:30D. Opanasiuk1.571110117113M. Vavrecka2.2581271192LSep 15 · 12:30R. Polasek1.7391111133M. Vavrecka2.001166111WSep 15 · 11:30M. Vavrecka2.5011911113J. Szotkowski1.50811991WSep 15 · 10:30D. Opanasiuk1.61911871M. Vavrecka2.2011611113
M. Cabis10
LSep 19 · 19:00P. Wawrosz2.1013118113M. Cabis1.671191161LSep 19 · 18:30M. Cabis1.44116861M. Navedla2.6351111113WSep 19 · 17:00M. Cabis1.7381111123M. Navedla2.001117101LSep 19 · 16:00M. Cabis1.806811101J. Pilch1.9111118123LSep 19 · 15:30D. Tomica1.73941111113M. Cabis2.0011116692WSep 19 · 14:00M. Cabis1.571111113M. Navedla2.258440LSep 14 · 17:00J. Szotkowski1.851111113M. Cabis1.806330LSep 14 · 16:00M. Biolek1.6111811123M. Cabis2.203116101LSep 14 · 15:00J. Dzida1.57111113113M. Cabis2.25791551LSep 14 · 14:30M. Cabis2.00751181J. Szotkowski1.7311119113
Upcoming Matches
M. Vavrecka
M. Cabis
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.