TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Jan Dzida
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1311811311118114
Martin Biolek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Biolek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Dzida above · Martin Biolek below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 91 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Martin Biolek at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Jan Dzida 57–50 Martin Biolek Martin Biolek has won 50 of their 107 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:33What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dzida
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
57-50 in 107
Dzida
Correct
gap of 7 in 107, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dzida 1887 vs Biolek 1929
Biolek
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dzida 40% vs Biolek 60%
Biolek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dzida 40% vs Biolek 60%
Biolek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dzida -1 · Biolek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dzida) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dzida form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDzida 1.80 / Biolek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dzida)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13164089
Dzida1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 17)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 135 of 232
Up 2–0, closes it95% 61 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it74% 98 of 132
Biolek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog55% won 45 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back39% 14 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDzida4wins
AwayBiolek6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBiolek leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDzida75%3 of 4
AwayBiolek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dzida4Biolek5n = 9Biolek took 5 of 9
S2Dzida5Biolek4n = 9Dzida took 5 of 9
S3Dzida5Biolek4n = 9Dzida took 5 of 9
S4Dzida2Biolek3n = 5Biolek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDzidaBiolekD − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match34.033.8+0.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDzidaBiolekBasisWin rate · lifetime216 / 368 vs 238 / 42558.7%56%216 / 368 vs 238 / 425Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaDzida 1.80/Biolek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dzida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 15 · 20:00J. Dzida409811121M. Biolek4511119143
WSep 14 · 17:30J. Dzida341211113M. Biolek1810620
WSep 14 · 14:00J. Dzida331111113M. Biolek215970
LSep 13 · 21:30J. Dzida2899100M. Biolek341111123
LSep 13 · 19:00J. Dzida30211891M. Biolek4011711113
WSep 6 · 19:30J. Dzida4111118113M. Biolek34991151
LSep 1 · 14:00J. Dzida4411911762M. Biolek46811511113
LAug 25 · 17:00J. Dzida1810440M. Biolek341211113
WAug 25 · 14:00J. Dzida3851111113M. Biolek32116871
J. Dzida10
WSep 21 · 15:30O. Paril2.0078111152J. Dzida1.73111196113LSep 17 · 17:30J. Dzida1.917117121R. Niezgoda1.8011511143WSep 17 · 16:00J. Dzida1.731111113J. Szotkowski2.002990WSep 17 · 15:30T. Zika2.751110441J. Dzida1.4091211113LSep 17 · 14:00J. Dzida1.8351111111R. Niezgoda1.8311913133LSep 15 · 20:58T. Dousek3.001111113J. Dzida1.369790LSep 15 · 20:00M. Biolek1.8311119143J. Dzida1.839811121LSep 15 · 19:00T. Dousek3.00111168113J. Dzida1.3693111182LSep 15 · 18:30J. Dzida1.916111110132D. Opanasiuk1.80115712153WSep 14 · 17:30J. Dzida1.851211113M. Biolek1.8510620
M. Biolek10
LSep 21 · 15:00M. Biolek2.1099100J. Szotkowski1.671111123WSep 20 · 21:30T. Dousek2.25991191M. Biolek1.5811119113LSep 20 · 20:00M. Biolek2.00118941R. Niezgoda1.7381111113WSep 20 · 19:30T. Dousek2.2011961152M. Biolek1.61511117113WSep 20 · 18:00M. Biolek1.611111113R. Polasek2.206930LSep 19 · 17:29J. Szotkowski1.731111113M. Biolek2.004840WSep 19 · 16:00T. Dousek2.25111011392M. Biolek1.57912611113WSep 19 · 15:00T. Zika3.759980M. Biolek1.251111113WSep 15 · 20:00M. Biolek1.8311119143J. Dzida1.839811121LSep 14 · 17:30J. Dzida1.851211113M. Biolek1.8510620
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