TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Tomas Dousek
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911911119911––
Martin Biolek
Away
1.58
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:25 and never touched — 61.1% is still 61.1%
Graded at full timeMartin Biolek to win
61.1%
61.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Dousek above · Martin Biolek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 80 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Martin Biolek at 61.1%
80 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousek 5–14 Martin Biolek Tomas Dousek has won 5 of their 19 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Biolek beat Dousek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:25What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.58 (59%)
Biolek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-14 in 19
Biolek
Correct
gap of 9 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dousek 1861 vs Biolek 1927
Biolek
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dousek 80% vs Biolek 60%
Dousek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dousek 60% vs Biolek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dousek +1 · Biolek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Biolek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dousek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousek 2.25 / Biolek 1.58
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Biolek)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13166658
Dousek2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 36 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back30% 15 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Biolek1.58
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 111 of 210
Up 2–0, closes it90% 51 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it71% 80 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDousek2wins
AwayBiolek8wins
7 of 10 to a deciderBiolek leads 8–2, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousek16.7%1 of 6
AwayBiolek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousek6Biolek4n = 10Dousek took 6 of 10
S2Dousek3Biolek7n = 10Biolek took 7 of 10
S3Dousek4Biolek6n = 10Biolek took 6 of 10
S4Dousek4Biolek4n = 8split evenly
S5Dousek1Biolek6n = 7Biolek took 6 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away660%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDousekBiolekD − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.843.7−3.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousekBiolekBasisWin rate · lifetime259 / 486 vs 237 / 42453.3%55.9%259 / 486 vs 237 / 424Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BiolekDousek 2.25/Biolek 1.58
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.1%
Biolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Biolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 19:30T. Dousek4211961152M. Biolek45511117113
LSep 19 · 16:00T. Dousek44111011392M. Biolek49912611113
LSep 15 · 18:00T. Dousek4591111772M. Biolek50119811113
WSep 13 · 18:30T. Dousek48711811113M. Biolek4511911952
WSep 10 · 14:00T. Dousek44111111113M. Biolek34691361
LSep 5 · 16:00T. Dousek4311911842M. Biolek48711811113
LAug 17 · 14:00T. Dousek4214611922M. Biolek491211411113
LJul 14 · 14:00T. Dousek145450M. Biolek331111113
LJul 12 · 13:00T. Dousek2798100M. Biolek341111123
LJul 12 · 11:00T. Dousek4911991372M. Biolek506111111113
T. Dousek10
WSep 20 · 20:30R. Polasek1.91111299112T. Dousek1.809101111133LSep 20 · 19:30T. Dousek2.2011961152M. Biolek1.61511117113WSep 20 · 18:30R. Niezgoda1.736111110102T. Dousek2.00114712123WSep 20 · 17:29M. Navedla2.3811571132T. Dousek1.53511119113WSep 20 · 16:00T. Dousek1.53891111113J. Pilch2.3811114862WSep 20 · 15:30M. Grundel2.2571450T. Dousek1.571116113LSep 20 · 14:00T. Dousek1.50118681M. Navedla2.5091111113WSep 19 · 16:59T. Dousek1.67911117123T. Zika2.10119611102LSep 19 · 16:00T. Dousek2.25111011392M. Biolek1.57912611113LSep 19 · 15:30J. Szotkowski1.911111113T. Dousek1.803330
M. Biolek10
LSep 20 · 20:00M. Biolek2.00118941R. Niezgoda1.7381111113WSep 20 · 19:30T. Dousek2.2011961152M. Biolek1.61511117113WSep 20 · 18:00M. Biolek1.611111113R. Polasek2.206930LSep 19 · 17:29J. Szotkowski1.731111113M. Biolek2.004840WSep 19 · 16:00T. Dousek2.25111011392M. Biolek1.57912611113WSep 19 · 15:00T. Zika3.759980M. Biolek1.251111113LSep 19 · 14:30M. Biolek1.8041040J. Szotkowski1.911112113LSep 19 · 13:30J. Szotkowski2.00111114113M. Biolek1.73641671WSep 19 · 12:00M. Biolek2.001141011113R. Niezgoda1.7311112662LSep 19 · 11:30J. Szotkowski2.001111113M. Biolek1.736560
Upcoming Matches
T. Dousek
Nothing scheduled
M. Biolek
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