TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Radovan Polasek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11912109119111113
Tomas Dousek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadovan Polasek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadovan Polasek above · Tomas Dousek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 106 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Radovan Polasek at 54.0%
106 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Polasek 21–19 Tomas Dousek Tomas Dousek has won 19 of their 40 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:29What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dousek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-19 in 40
Polasek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polasek 1825 vs Dousek 1861
Dousek
Correct
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polasek 40% vs Dousek 80%
Dousek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polasek 60% vs Dousek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Polasek +1 · Dousek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dousek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dousek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolasek 1.91 / Dousek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dousek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159810
Polasek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 130 of 257
Down 0–1, comes back27% 34 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 68
Dousek1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 108 of 197
Up 2–0, closes it91% 50 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it76% 82 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolasek4wins
AwayDousek6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderDousek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolasek60%3 of 5
AwayDousek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polasek5Dousek5n = 10split evenly
S2Polasek5Dousek5n = 10split evenly
S3Polasek7Dousek3n = 10Polasek took 7 of 10
S4Polasek4Dousek5n = 9Dousek took 5 of 9
S5Polasek1Dousek4n = 5Dousek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolasekDousekP − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.344.1−2.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolasekDousekBasisWin rate · lifetime470 / 926 vs 259 / 48650.8%53.3%470 / 926 vs 259 / 486Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DousekPolasek 1.91/Dousek 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dousek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dousek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 20:30R. Polasek52111299112T. Dousek549101111133
LSep 16 · 21:03R. Polasek29361281T. Dousek43111110113
WSep 16 · 20:30R. Polasek47113139113T. Dousek47911111152
LSep 16 · 16:00R. Polasek44102121282T. Dousek5412111010113
LSep 10 · 16:30R. Polasek3611411642T. Dousek49711911113
LSep 6 · 20:00R. Polasek407811141T. Dousek4511117163
WSep 5 · 14:00R. Polasek4111117123T. Dousek399911101
WSep 4 · 12:59R. Polasek331111113T. Dousek248880
WSep 4 · 12:00R. Polasek4391112113T. Dousek371181081
LAug 31 · 07:30R. Polasek48711911102T. Dousek49118117123
R. Polasek10
WSep 20 · 21:09R. Niezgoda2.00691191R. Polasek1.7311117113WSep 20 · 19:00R. Polasek3.25311611123R. Niezgoda1.33117119102LSep 20 · 18:00M. Biolek1.611111113R. Polasek2.206930LSep 18 · 17:30D. Tomica2.381112119113R. Polasek1.53710131192LSep 18 · 16:30D. Tomica2.38111110113R. Polasek1.53991231WSep 18 · 15:30R. Polasek1.501111113M. Grundel2.507260WSep 18 · 14:30J. Pilch2.2510730R. Polasek1.571211113WSep 18 · 08:58R. Polasek1.9171111113T. Zika1.80116561LSep 18 · 08:30P. Wawrosz2.0061111113R. Polasek1.73117421WSep 18 · 07:30R. Polasek1.83119114113T. Zika1.8351191192
T. Dousek10
LSep 20 · 21:30T. Dousek2.25991191M. Biolek1.5811119113LSep 20 · 19:30T. Dousek2.2011961152M. Biolek1.61511117113WSep 20 · 18:30R. Niezgoda1.736111110102T. Dousek2.00114712123WSep 20 · 17:29M. Navedla2.3811571132T. Dousek1.53511119113WSep 20 · 16:00T. Dousek1.53891111113J. Pilch2.3811114862WSep 20 · 15:30M. Grundel2.2571450T. Dousek1.571116113LSep 20 · 14:00T. Dousek1.50118681M. Navedla2.5091111113WSep 19 · 16:59T. Dousek1.67911117123T. Zika2.10119611102LSep 19 · 16:00T. Dousek2.25111011392M. Biolek1.57912611113LSep 19 · 15:30J. Szotkowski1.911111113T. Dousek1.803330
Upcoming Matches
R. Polasek
T. Dousek
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.