TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Rostislav Niezgoda
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611911117911––
Radovan Polasek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingRostislav Niezgoda above · Radovan Polasek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 75 set 4, 9-11
75 points played in total.
H2H Rostislav Niezgoda 3–2 Radovan Polasek Radovan Polasek has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Polasek beat Niezgoda 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Polasek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polasek form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNiezgoda 2.00 / Polasek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Niezgoda)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13166659
Niezgoda2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Polasek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 150 of 291
Up 2–0, closes it86% 77 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it72% 107 of 148
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeNiezgoda3wins
AwayPolasek2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderNiezgoda leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNiezgoda50%2 of 4
AwayPolasekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Niezgoda4Polasek1n = 5Niezgoda took 4 of 5
S2Niezgoda3Polasek2n = 5Niezgoda took 3 of 5
S3Niezgoda4Polasek1n = 5Niezgoda took 4 of 5
S4Niezgoda2Polasek2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricNiezgodaPolasekN − PBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match43.833.2+10.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNiezgodaPolasekBasisWin rate · lifetime11 / 19 vs 470 / 92657.9%50.8%11 / 19 vs 470 / 926Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match41.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolasekNiezgoda 2.00/Polasek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Polasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Polasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 20 · 19:00R. Niezgoda48117119102R. Polasek43311611123
WSep 16 · 19:30R. Niezgoda4491111133R. Polasek341139111
WMar 20 · 20:30R. Niezgoda4211119113R. Polasek26831141
WMar 14 · 18:30R. Niezgoda331111113R. Polasek178270
LMar 14 · 16:00R. Niezgoda52117111492R. Polasek46611216113
R. Niezgoda10
WSep 20 · 20:00M. Biolek2.00118941R. Niezgoda1.7381111113LSep 20 · 19:00R. Polasek3.25311611123R. Niezgoda1.33117119102LSep 20 · 18:30R. Niezgoda1.736111110102T. Dousek2.00114712123WSep 19 · 13:00R. Niezgoda1.671111113T. Zika2.106730LSep 19 · 12:00M. Biolek2.001141011113R. Niezgoda1.7311112662WSep 19 · 11:00T. Zika2.2011711782R. Niezgoda1.61711811113LSep 19 · 10:30R. Niezgoda2.1010111191J. Szotkowski1.6712136113WSep 17 · 17:30J. Dzida1.917117121R. Niezgoda1.8011511143WSep 17 · 16:30R. Niezgoda2.001114911113T. Zika1.7361611852LSep 17 · 15:00R. Niezgoda1.83153991J. Szotkowski1.83131111113
R. Polasek10
LSep 20 · 20:30R. Polasek1.91111299112T. Dousek1.809101111133WSep 20 · 19:00R. Polasek3.25311611123R. Niezgoda1.33117119102LSep 20 · 18:00M. Biolek1.611111113R. Polasek2.206930LSep 18 · 17:30D. Tomica2.381112119113R. Polasek1.53710131192LSep 18 · 16:30D. Tomica2.38111110113R. Polasek1.53991231WSep 18 · 15:30R. Polasek1.501111113M. Grundel2.507260WSep 18 · 14:30J. Pilch2.2510730R. Polasek1.571211113WSep 18 · 08:58R. Polasek1.9171111113T. Zika1.80116561LSep 18 · 08:30P. Wawrosz2.0061111113R. Polasek1.73117421WSep 18 · 07:30R. Polasek1.83119114113T. Zika1.8351191192
Upcoming Matches
R. Niezgoda
Nothing scheduled
R. Polasek
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