TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Rostislav Niezgoda vs Jan Dzida 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Rostislav Niezgoda
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181151210––––
Jan Dzida
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Dzida to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRostislav Niezgoda above · Jan Dzida below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 57 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Jan Dzida at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Rostislav Niezgoda 4–3 Jan Dzida Jan Dzida has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:59What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dzida
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Niezgoda 1800 vs Dzida 1921
Dzida
Wrong
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Niezgoda 20% vs Dzida 80%
Dzida
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Niezgoda 40% vs Dzida 60%
Dzida
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Niezgoda -2 · Dzida +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dzida)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dzida form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNiezgoda 1.91 / Dzida 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dzida)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13170010
Niezgoda1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Dzida1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 138 of 236
Up 2–0, closes it96% 63 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it74% 101 of 136
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeNiezgoda4wins
AwayDzida3wins
1 of 7 to a deciderNiezgoda leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNiezgoda100%4 of 4
AwayDzida100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Niezgoda4Dzida3n = 7Niezgoda took 4 of 7
S2Niezgoda3Dzida4n = 7Dzida took 4 of 7
S3Niezgoda6Dzida1n = 7Niezgoda took 6 of 7
S4Niezgoda3Dzida2n = 5Niezgoda took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricNiezgodaDzidaN − DBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match38.736.7+2.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNiezgodaDzidaBasisWin rate · lifetime11 / 21 vs 219 / 37252.4%58.9%11 / 21 vs 219 / 372Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match41.639.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaNiezgoda 1.91/Dzida 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Niezgoda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 17 · 17:30R. Niezgoda4111511143J. Dzida377117121
WSep 17 · 14:00R. Niezgoda4611913133J. Dzida3851111111
WMar 13 · 15:30R. Niezgoda351113113J. Dzida2351170
LFeb 5 · 16:00R. Niezgoda4510161181J. Dzida5012189113
WJan 16 · 17:57R. Niezgoda351113113J. Dzida2661190
LJan 16 · 16:30R. Niezgoda3881111172J. Dzida43114116113
LJan 9 · 15:00R. Niezgoda31841181J. Dzida4011117113
R. Niezgoda10
LSep 22 · 14:00M. Biolek1.91611811113R. Niezgoda1.8011711762LSep 20 · 21:09R. Niezgoda2.00691191R. Polasek1.7311117113WSep 20 · 20:00M. Biolek2.00118941R. Niezgoda1.7381111113LSep 20 · 19:00R. Polasek3.25311611123R. Niezgoda1.33117119102LSep 20 · 18:30R. Niezgoda1.736111110102T. Dousek2.00114712123WSep 19 · 13:00R. Niezgoda1.671111113T. Zika2.106730LSep 19 · 12:00M. Biolek2.001141011113R. Niezgoda1.7311112662WSep 19 · 11:00T. Zika2.2011711782R. Niezgoda1.61711811113LSep 19 · 10:30R. Niezgoda2.1010111191J. Szotkowski1.6712136113WSep 17 · 17:30J. Dzida1.917117121R. Niezgoda1.8011511143
J. Dzida10
WSep 22 · 14:30J. Dzida1.731110811113J. Szotkowski2.0081211582WSep 21 · 17:28J. Szotkowski2.10691111132J. Dzida1.67111136153LSep 21 · 16:00J. Dzida1.6711851162J. Szotkowski2.10611116113WSep 21 · 15:30O. Paril2.0078111152J. Dzida1.73111196113WSep 21 · 14:00J. Dzida1.80138311113M. Biolek1.91111111842LSep 17 · 17:30J. Dzida1.917117121R. Niezgoda1.8011511143WSep 17 · 16:00J. Dzida1.731111113J. Szotkowski2.002990WSep 17 · 15:30T. Zika2.751110441J. Dzida1.4091211113LSep 17 · 14:00J. Dzida1.8351111111R. Niezgoda1.8311913133LSep 15 · 20:58T. Dousek3.001111113J. Dzida1.369790
Upcoming Matches
R. Niezgoda
J. Dzida
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