TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Jan Szotkowski
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6119111131161315
Jan Dzida
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJan Szotkowski above · Jan Dzida below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 13-15
Point 96 set 5, 13-15
96 points played in total.
H2H Jan Szotkowski 9–16 Jan Dzida Jan Szotkowski has won 9 of their 25 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Szotkowski beat Dzida 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dzida)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szotkowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzotkowski 2.10 / Dzida 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Szotkowski)+1.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13172083
Szotkowski2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog56% won 71 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back19% 9 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Dzida1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 135 of 232
Up 2–0, closes it95% 61 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it74% 98 of 132
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzotkowski5wins
AwayDzida5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzotkowski100%4 of 4
AwayDzida83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szotkowski4Dzida6n = 10Dzida took 6 of 10
S2Szotkowski7Dzida3n = 10Szotkowski took 7 of 10
S3Szotkowski4Dzida6n = 10Dzida took 6 of 10
S4Szotkowski3Dzida5n = 8Dzida took 5 of 8
S5Szotkowski2Dzida1n = 3Szotkowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzotkowskiDzidaS − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.237.7+2.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzotkowskiDzidaBasisWin rate · lifetime443 / 840 vs 217 / 37052.7%58.7%443 / 840 vs 217 / 370Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.439.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaSzotkowski 2.10/Dzida 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dzida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 16:00J. Szotkowski45611116113J. Dzida4111851162
LSep 17 · 16:00J. Szotkowski202990J. Dzida331111113
LSep 14 · 16:30J. Szotkowski4211111191J. Dzida3913213113
WAug 27 · 15:30J. Szotkowski551114109113J. Dzida48812121152
WAug 25 · 16:30J. Szotkowski331111113J. Dzida124620
LAug 18 · 15:00J. Szotkowski401381181J. Dzida4515118113
WAug 11 · 16:00J. Szotkowski4011117113J. Dzida34951191
WJul 30 · 15:00J. Szotkowski4211119113J. Dzida35691191
LJul 28 · 14:00J. Szotkowski35991161J. Dzida3711114113
LJul 23 · 17:29J. Szotkowski501111411132J. Dzida53139115153
J. Szotkowski10
WSep 21 · 16:00J. Dzida1.6711851162J. Szotkowski2.10611116113WSep 21 · 15:00M. Biolek2.1099100J. Szotkowski1.671111123WSep 21 · 14:30J. Szotkowski1.731151111133O. Paril2.00911913112WSep 21 · 13:30T. Zika2.00711691J. Szotkowski1.7311811113LSep 21 · 12:00J. Szotkowski1.619111091R. Revay2.2011812113LSep 21 · 11:30T. Zika1.91118139113J. Szotkowski1.80711111172WSep 21 · 10:00J. Szotkowski1.57111111113R. Polasek2.25791361WSep 19 · 17:29J. Szotkowski1.731111113M. Biolek2.004840WSep 19 · 16:30T. Zika1.917121281J. Szotkowski1.80111410113WSep 19 · 15:30J. Szotkowski1.911111113T. Dousek1.803330
J. Dzida10
LSep 21 · 16:00J. Dzida1.6711851162J. Szotkowski2.10611116113WSep 21 · 15:30O. Paril2.0078111152J. Dzida1.73111196113WSep 21 · 14:00J. Dzida1.80138311113M. Biolek1.91111111842LSep 17 · 17:30J. Dzida1.917117121R. Niezgoda1.8011511143WSep 17 · 16:00J. Dzida1.731111113J. Szotkowski2.002990WSep 17 · 15:30T. Zika2.751110441J. Dzida1.4091211113LSep 17 · 14:00J. Dzida1.8351111111R. Niezgoda1.8311913133LSep 15 · 20:58T. Dousek3.001111113J. Dzida1.369790LSep 15 · 20:00M. Biolek1.8311119143J. Dzida1.839811121LSep 15 · 19:00T. Dousek3.00111168113J. Dzida1.3693111182
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