TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Martin Biolek vs Rostislav Niezgoda 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Martin Biolek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611117811117116
Rostislav Niezgoda
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:05 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeMartin Biolek to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Biolek above · Rostislav Niezgoda below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 89 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Martin Biolek at 56.5%
89 points played in total.
H2H Martin Biolek 11–8 Rostislav Niezgoda Rostislav Niezgoda has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:05What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Niezgoda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-8 in 19
Biolek
Correct
gap of 3 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Biolek 1898 vs Niezgoda 1808
Biolek
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Biolek 40% vs Niezgoda 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Biolek 50% vs Niezgoda 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Biolek -1 · Niezgoda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Biolek) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Niezgoda form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBiolek 1.91 / Niezgoda 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Biolek)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13168565
Biolek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog54% won 45 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back37% 14 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Niezgoda1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 20)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 8 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBiolek5wins
AwayNiezgoda5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBiolek62.5%5 of 8
AwayNiezgodan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Biolek8Niezgoda2n = 10Biolek took 8 of 10
S2Biolek3Niezgoda7n = 10Niezgoda took 7 of 10
S3Biolek5Niezgoda5n = 10split evenly
S4Biolek3Niezgoda4n = 7Niezgoda took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBiolekNiezgodaB − NBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match35.433.7+1.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBiolekNiezgodaBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 429 vs 11 / 2055.7%55%239 / 429 vs 11 / 20Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.841.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BiolekBiolek 1.91/Niezgoda 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Biolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Biolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 20:00M. Biolek32118941R. Niezgoda4181111113
WSep 19 · 12:00M. Biolek471141011113R. Niezgoda3611112662
LApr 10 · 17:02M. Biolek30671161R. Niezgoda4111118113
LApr 10 · 16:30M. Biolek361191061R. Niezgoda3951112113
WApr 3 · 16:30M. Biolek4111811113R. Niezgoda27511381
WMar 24 · 19:30M. Biolek4211811123R. Niezgoda295113101
LMar 21 · 17:00M. Biolek148330R. Niezgoda331111113
WMar 10 · 22:10M. Biolek331111113R. Niezgoda228950
WMar 10 · 20:00M. Biolek331111113R. Niezgoda144370
LMar 3 · 18:30M. Biolek46121165122R. Niezgoda551091111143
M. Biolek10
WSep 22 · 15:30J. Szotkowski1.678111171M. Biolek2.1011913113LSep 21 · 16:59M. Biolek1.7373100O. Paril2.001111123WSep 21 · 16:30M. Biolek1.731113113O. Paril2.0061160LSep 21 · 15:00M. Biolek2.1099100J. Szotkowski1.671111123LSep 21 · 14:00J. Dzida1.80138311113M. Biolek1.91111111842WSep 20 · 21:30T. Dousek2.25991191M. Biolek1.5811119113LSep 20 · 20:00M. Biolek2.00118941R. Niezgoda1.7381111113WSep 20 · 19:30T. Dousek2.2011961152M. Biolek1.61511117113WSep 20 · 18:00M. Biolek1.611111113R. Polasek2.206930LSep 19 · 17:29J. Szotkowski1.731111113M. Biolek2.004840
R. Niezgoda10
WSep 22 · 15:00R. Niezgoda1.911111123J. Dzida1.8085100LSep 20 · 21:09R. Niezgoda2.00691191R. Polasek1.7311117113WSep 20 · 20:00M. Biolek2.00118941R. Niezgoda1.7381111113LSep 20 · 19:00R. Polasek3.25311611123R. Niezgoda1.33117119102LSep 20 · 18:30R. Niezgoda1.736111110102T. Dousek2.00114712123WSep 19 · 13:00R. Niezgoda1.671111113T. Zika2.106730LSep 19 · 12:00M. Biolek2.001141011113R. Niezgoda1.7311112662WSep 19 · 11:00T. Zika2.2011711782R. Niezgoda1.61711811113LSep 19 · 10:30R. Niezgoda2.1010111191J. Szotkowski1.6712136113WSep 17 · 17:30J. Dzida1.917117121R. Niezgoda1.8011511143
Upcoming Matches
M. Biolek
Nothing scheduled
R. Niezgoda
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