TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jan Szotkowski vs Martin Biolek 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Jan Szotkowski
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111191113711––
Martin Biolek
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeJan Szotkowski to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Szotkowski above · Martin Biolek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 81 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Jan Szotkowski at 55.7%
81 points played in total.
H2H Jan Szotkowski 27–25 Martin Biolek Martin Biolek has won 25 of their 52 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Szotkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-25 in 52
Szotkowski
Wrong
gap of 2 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szotkowski 1897 vs Biolek 1918
Biolek
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szotkowski 40% vs Biolek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szotkowski 60% vs Biolek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Szotkowski -2 · Biolek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Szotkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szotkowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzotkowski 1.67 / Biolek 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Szotkowski)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13168851
Szotkowski1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 135 of 248
Up 2–0, closes it94% 72 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it75% 107 of 143
Biolek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog54% won 45 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back37% 14 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzotkowski7wins
AwayBiolek3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSzotkowski leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzotkowski100%7 of 7
AwayBiolek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szotkowski7Biolek3n = 10Szotkowski took 7 of 10
S2Szotkowski9Biolek1n = 10Szotkowski took 9 of 10
S3Szotkowski8Biolek2n = 10Szotkowski took 8 of 10
S4Szotkowski2Biolek3n = 5Biolek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzotkowskiBiolekS − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.829.7+7.1per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzotkowskiBiolekBasisWin rate · lifetime445 / 847 vs 241 / 43152.5%55.9%445 / 847 vs 241 / 431Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.438.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzotkowskiSzotkowski 1.67/Biolek 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Szotkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Biolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 15:30J. Szotkowski378111171M. Biolek4411913113
WSep 21 · 15:00J. Szotkowski341111123M. Biolek2899100
WSep 19 · 17:29J. Szotkowski331111113M. Biolek164840
WSep 19 · 14:30J. Szotkowski341112113M. Biolek1841040
WSep 19 · 13:30J. Szotkowski47111114113M. Biolek33641671
WSep 19 · 11:30J. Szotkowski331111113M. Biolek176560
LSep 14 · 15:30J. Szotkowski4661111992M. Biolek50119811113
WAug 25 · 15:30J. Szotkowski331111113M. Biolek122370
WAug 20 · 16:00J. Szotkowski3611311113M. Biolek30811561
LAug 18 · 16:00J. Szotkowski3541111362M. Biolek49117911113
J. Szotkowski10
LSep 22 · 14:30J. Dzida1.731110811113J. Szotkowski2.0081211582LSep 22 · 13:30J. Szotkowski1.551457101R. Polasek2.25121111123WSep 22 · 12:00J. Szotkowski1.5711118113R. Polasek2.25891191WSep 22 · 11:30T. Zika1.91511851J. Szotkowski1.8011711113LSep 22 · 10:00J. Szotkowski1.50711101182M. Vavrecka2.50116127113LSep 21 · 17:28J. Szotkowski2.10691111132J. Dzida1.67111136153WSep 21 · 16:00J. Dzida1.6711851162J. Szotkowski2.10611116113WSep 21 · 15:00M. Biolek2.1099100J. Szotkowski1.671111123WSep 21 · 14:30J. Szotkowski1.731151111133O. Paril2.00911913112WSep 21 · 13:30T. Zika2.00711691J. Szotkowski1.7311811113
M. Biolek10
WSep 22 · 16:00M. Biolek1.8311117113J. Dzida1.83561191WSep 22 · 14:00M. Biolek1.91611811113R. Niezgoda1.8011711762LSep 21 · 16:59M. Biolek1.7373100O. Paril2.001111123WSep 21 · 16:30M. Biolek1.731113113O. Paril2.0061160LSep 21 · 15:00M. Biolek2.1099100J. Szotkowski1.671111123LSep 21 · 14:00J. Dzida1.80138311113M. Biolek1.91111111842WSep 20 · 21:30T. Dousek2.25991191M. Biolek1.5811119113LSep 20 · 20:00M. Biolek2.00118941R. Niezgoda1.7381111113WSep 20 · 19:30T. Dousek2.2011961152M. Biolek1.61511117113WSep 20 · 18:00M. Biolek1.611111113R. Polasek2.206930
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