TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jan Szotkowski vs Radovan Polasek 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Jan Szotkowski
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118119811119––
Radovan Polasek
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeJan Szotkowski to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Szotkowski above · Radovan Polasek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jan Szotkowski at 60.7%
78 points played in total.
H2H Jan Szotkowski 31–23 Radovan Polasek Radovan Polasek has won 23 of their 54 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Szotkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-23 in 54
Szotkowski
Correct
gap of 8 in 54, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szotkowski 1935 vs Polasek 1820
Szotkowski
Correct
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szotkowski 60% vs Polasek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szotkowski 60% vs Polasek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Szotkowski +1 · Polasek +3
Polasek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Szotkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polasek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzotkowski 1.57 / Polasek 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Szotkowski)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13168848
Szotkowski1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 135 of 248
Up 2–0, closes it94% 72 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it75% 107 of 143
Polasek2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 131 of 262
Down 0–1, comes back27% 35 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzotkowski7wins
AwayPolasek3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSzotkowski leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzotkowski100%5 of 5
AwayPolasek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szotkowski5Polasek5n = 10split evenly
S2Szotkowski7Polasek3n = 10Szotkowski took 7 of 10
S3Szotkowski5Polasek5n = 10split evenly
S4Szotkowski4Polasek3n = 7Szotkowski took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzotkowskiPolasekS − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.231.8+6.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzotkowskiPolasekBasisWin rate · lifetime444 / 843 vs 476 / 93752.7%50.8%444 / 843 vs 476 / 937Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzotkowskiSzotkowski 1.57/Polasek 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Szotkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Szotkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 10:00J. Szotkowski44111111113R. Polasek35791361
LSep 17 · 12:00J. Szotkowski196760R. Polasek331111113
LSep 15 · 13:00J. Szotkowski367111081R. Polasek4311912113
WSep 15 · 10:00J. Szotkowski46111185113R. Polasek3783111142
LSep 14 · 12:00J. Szotkowski35891171R. Polasek3511112113
WSep 3 · 09:28J. Szotkowski341211113R. Polasek2710890
WSep 3 · 07:00J. Szotkowski331111113R. Polasek146260
WAug 27 · 16:30J. Szotkowski48691111113R. Polasek3411112372
WAug 25 · 11:30J. Szotkowski46131111113R. Polasek33157381
WAug 11 · 10:00J. Szotkowski4111118113R. Polasek27481141
J. Szotkowski10
WSep 22 · 11:30T. Zika1.91511851J. Szotkowski1.8011711113LSep 22 · 10:00J. Szotkowski1.50711101182M. Vavrecka2.50116127113LSep 21 · 17:28J. Szotkowski2.10691111132J. Dzida1.67111136153WSep 21 · 16:00J. Dzida1.6711851162J. Szotkowski2.10611116113WSep 21 · 15:00M. Biolek2.1099100J. Szotkowski1.671111123WSep 21 · 14:30J. Szotkowski1.731151111133O. Paril2.00911913112WSep 21 · 13:30T. Zika2.00711691J. Szotkowski1.7311811113LSep 21 · 12:00J. Szotkowski1.619111091R. Revay2.2011812113LSep 21 · 11:30T. Zika1.91118139113J. Szotkowski1.80711111172WSep 21 · 10:00J. Szotkowski1.57111111113R. Polasek2.25791361
R. Polasek10
WSep 22 · 11:00M. Vavrecka2.005650R. Polasek1.731111113WSep 22 · 10:30R. Polasek1.9111128113T. Zika1.808101161WSep 22 · 08:58M. Navedla2.10116114102R. Polasek1.67811811123LSep 22 · 08:00R. Polasek1.73114971M. Vavrecka2.0041111113LSep 22 · 07:30T. Zika1.8311115113R. Polasek1.83691171LSep 22 · 06:00R. Polasek1.611231321M. Navedla2.20141111113WSep 21 · 13:00R. Polasek1.911011159113R. Revay1.80126131172LSep 21 · 12:30R. Polasek1.9110760T. Zika1.801211113WSep 21 · 11:00R. Polasek1.8011127113R. Revay1.917101181LSep 21 · 10:00J. Szotkowski1.57111111113R. Polasek2.25791361
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