TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Radovan Polasek vs Michal Vavrecka 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Radovan Polasek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
114411911711––
Michal Vavrecka
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadovan Polasek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadovan Polasek above · Michal Vavrecka below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 68 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Radovan Polasek at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Polasek 50–38 Michal Vavrecka Michal Vavrecka has won 38 of their 88 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:05What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Polasek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
50-38 in 88
Polasek
Wrong
gap of 12 in 88, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polasek 1797 vs Vavrecka 1816
Vavrecka
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polasek 40% vs Vavrecka 80%
Vavrecka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polasek 40% vs Vavrecka 70%
Vavrecka
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Polasek -2 · Vavrecka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Polasek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vavrecka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolasek 1.73 / Vavrecka 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Polasek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13168857
Polasek1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite52% won 150 of 289
Up 2–0, closes it86% 77 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it72% 107 of 148
Vavrecka2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 144 of 325
Down 0–1, comes back25% 45 of 181
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolasek7wins
AwayVavrecka3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPolasek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolasek85.7%6 of 7
AwayVavrecka66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polasek7Vavrecka3n = 10Polasek took 7 of 10
S2Polasek7Vavrecka3n = 10Polasek took 7 of 10
S3Polasek7Vavrecka3n = 10Polasek took 7 of 10
S4Polasek6Vavrecka3n = 9Polasek took 6 of 9
S5Polasek0Vavrecka3n = 3Vavrecka took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolasekVavreckaP − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.639.6+4.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolasekVavreckaBasisWin rate · lifetime473 / 933 vs 986 / 195450.7%50.5%473 / 933 vs 986 / 1954Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolasekPolasek 1.73/Vavrecka 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Polasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vavrecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 12:30R. Polasek4491111133M. Vavrecka341166111
WSep 14 · 13:30R. Polasek3911116113M. Vavrecka32941181
WSep 14 · 10:30R. Polasek4212811113M. Vavrecka321011561
LSep 14 · 08:30R. Polasek4571214392M. Vavrecka5511101211113
WSep 9 · 08:00R. Polasek46131110123M. Vavrecka4111812101
LSep 6 · 21:00R. Polasek52111312882M. Vavrecka536151011113
LSep 6 · 18:00R. Polasek4481111862M. Vavrecka48119611113
WAug 31 · 08:30R. Polasek4314117113M. Vavrecka361251181
WAug 30 · 08:30R. Polasek341112113M. Vavrecka2451090
WAug 29 · 08:30R. Polasek47111312113M. Vavrecka417151091
R. Polasek10
LSep 22 · 07:30T. Zika1.8311115113R. Polasek1.83691171LSep 22 · 06:00R. Polasek1.611231321M. Navedla2.20141111113WSep 21 · 13:00R. Polasek1.911011159113R. Revay1.80126131172LSep 21 · 12:30R. Polasek1.9110760T. Zika1.801211113WSep 21 · 11:00R. Polasek1.8011127113R. Revay1.917101181LSep 21 · 10:00J. Szotkowski1.57111111113R. Polasek2.25791361WSep 20 · 21:09R. Niezgoda2.00691191R. Polasek1.7311117113LSep 20 · 20:30R. Polasek1.91111299112T. Dousek1.809101111133WSep 20 · 19:00R. Polasek3.25311611123R. Niezgoda1.33117119102LSep 20 · 18:00M. Biolek1.611111113R. Polasek2.206930
M. Vavrecka10
WSep 22 · 07:00M. Navedla2.25991131M. Vavrecka1.5711117113WSep 22 · 06:30M. Vavrecka2.10111189113T. Zika1.6769111172LSep 19 · 21:30M. Vavrecka1.904116121P. Wawrosz1.8011511143WSep 19 · 20:00M. Vavrecka2.1011117113M. Cabis1.67981181WSep 19 · 19:30M. Navedla2.3881211942M. Vavrecka1.531110911113WSep 19 · 18:00M. Vavrecka1.80611411113P. Wawrosz1.9111811792LSep 16 · 21:30P. Wawrosz1.7311118113M. Vavrecka2.00661171WSep 16 · 20:30L. Prikasky1.8335100M. Vavrecka1.831111123WSep 16 · 19:30M. Vavrecka1.53781211143M. Navedla2.381111105122LSep 16 · 18:30P. Wawrosz2.0012911133M. Vavrecka1.7310116111
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