TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Radovan Pisa
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118115113––––
Lukas Adam
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingRadovan Pisa above · Lukas Adam below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 49 set 3, 11-3
49 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Pisa 21–25 Lukas Adam Radovan Pisa has won 21 of their 46 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Pisa beat Adam 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Adam)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pisa form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPisa 2.38 / Adam 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Adam)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13169712
Pisa2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 79 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back29% 29 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back13% 7 of 56
Adam1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 60 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it91% 42 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePisa4wins
AwayAdam6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderAdam leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePisa50%3 of 6
AwayAdam75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pisa6Adam4n = 10Pisa took 6 of 10
S2Pisa4Adam6n = 10Adam took 6 of 10
S3Pisa4Adam6n = 10Adam took 6 of 10
S4Pisa1Adam5n = 6Adam took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPisaAdamP − ABasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.535.1−1.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPisaAdamBasisWin rate · lifetime381 / 786 vs 284 / 54648.5%52%381 / 786 vs 284 / 546Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.540.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamPisa 2.38/Adam 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Adam · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pisa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 09:45R. Pisa391711113L. Adam2615560
WSep 7 · 10:45R. Pisa4312119113L. Adam331061161
WAug 28 · 07:00R. Pisa341111123L. Adam2156100
LAug 11 · 05:45R. Pisa34771191L. Adam4011117113
LAug 10 · 11:15R. Pisa207760L. Adam331111113
LJul 23 · 07:45R. Pisa31116681L. Adam3851111113
LJun 24 · 05:30R. Pisa2578100L. Adam341111123
WJun 10 · 05:45R. Pisa48913114113L. Adam44111131182
LJun 3 · 07:00R. Pisa29118731L. Adam4071111113
LJun 1 · 09:45R. Pisa32115791L. Adam4291111113
R. Pisa10
LSep 21 · 11:45R. Pisa2.1051160M. Zelinka1.671113113WSep 21 · 10:15M. Stibor1.739580R. Pisa2.001111113WSep 21 · 09:45L. Adam1.5315560R. Pisa2.381711113LSep 20 · 12:43R. Pisa2.50661181M. Zelinka1.5011116113WSep 20 · 11:45R. Pisa1.671111113M. Makara2.106990LSep 20 · 10:15M. Zelinka1.731111113R. Pisa2.007980WSep 20 · 09:45O. Kaderabek1.91911941R. Pisa1.8011911113LSep 18 · 08:29M. Makara1.9111711123R. Pisa1.808118101LSep 18 · 07:15P. Fencl2.5081111113R. Pisa1.50117991LSep 18 · 06:45R. Pisa1.7312411982M. Kocvara2.001011611113
L. Adam10
WSep 21 · 11:15M. Stibor1.671511911102L. Adam2.10179119123WSep 21 · 10:45L. Adam2.38118811113M. Zelinka1.5351111662LSep 21 · 09:45L. Adam1.5315560R. Pisa2.381711113WSep 15 · 08:18L. Dobias1.73119871L. Adam2.0071111113LSep 15 · 07:15L. Adam2.009390L. Dobias1.731111113WSep 15 · 06:15L. Adam3.001171112113P. Wasik1.36311131062LSep 15 · 05:15L. Adam2.0011891192O. Kaderabek1.73411115113WSep 11 · 16:54L. Adam2.2071111123D. Gasparovic1.611188101LSep 11 · 15:45L. Adam1.67911912102M. Makara2.101171110123WSep 11 · 14:15A. Snr2.108860L. Adam1.671111113
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