TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Lukas Adam
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1517511611––––
Radovan Pisa
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:06 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeLukas Adam to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Adam above · Radovan Pisa below
Set 1 · 15-17
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 65 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Lukas Adam at 61.2%
65 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Adam 25–20 Radovan Pisa Radovan Pisa has won 20 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:06What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Adam
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-20 in 45
Adam
Wrong
gap of 5 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adam 1752 vs Pisa 1723
Adam
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adam 60% vs Pisa 40%
Adam
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adam 60% vs Pisa 40%
Adam
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adam +1 · Pisa -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Adam)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdam 1.53 / Pisa 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Adam)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13166333
Adam1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 15)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 60 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it91% 42 of 46
Pisa2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 79 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back29% 29 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back13% 7 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdam6wins
AwayPisa4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderAdam leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdam75%3 of 4
AwayPisa50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adam4Pisa6n = 10Pisa took 6 of 10
S2Adam6Pisa4n = 10Adam took 6 of 10
S3Adam6Pisa4n = 10Adam took 6 of 10
S4Adam5Pisa1n = 6Adam took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamPisaA − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.533.0+1.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamPisaBasisWin rate · lifetime285 / 547 vs 382 / 78752.1%48.5%285 / 547 vs 382 / 787Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamAdam 1.53/Pisa 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Adam · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pisa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 10:45L. Adam331061161R. Pisa4312119113
LAug 28 · 07:00L. Adam2156100R. Pisa341111123
WAug 11 · 05:45L. Adam4011117113R. Pisa34771191
WAug 10 · 11:15L. Adam331111113R. Pisa207760
WJul 23 · 07:45L. Adam3851111113R. Pisa31116681
WJun 24 · 05:30L. Adam341111123R. Pisa2578100
LJun 10 · 05:45L. Adam44111131182R. Pisa48913114113
WJun 3 · 07:00L. Adam4071111113R. Pisa29118731
WJun 1 · 09:45L. Adam4291111113R. Pisa32115791
LMay 12 · 08:44L. Adam2046100R. Pisa341111123
L. Adam10
WSep 15 · 08:18L. Dobias1.73119871L. Adam2.0071111113LSep 15 · 07:15L. Adam2.009390L. Dobias1.731111113WSep 15 · 06:15L. Adam3.001171112113P. Wasik1.36311131062LSep 15 · 05:15L. Adam2.0011891192O. Kaderabek1.73411115113WSep 11 · 16:54L. Adam2.2071111123D. Gasparovic1.611188101LSep 11 · 15:45L. Adam1.67911912102M. Makara2.101171110123WSep 11 · 14:15A. Snr2.108860L. Adam1.671111113WSep 11 · 13:45D. Gasparovic1.4011981152L. Adam2.75411113113LSep 11 · 08:43L. Adam2.107750M. Stibor1.671111113WSep 11 · 07:45L. Dobias1.737990L. Adam2.001111113
R. Pisa10
WSep 21 · 10:15M. Stibor1.739580R. Pisa2.001111113LSep 20 · 12:43R. Pisa2.50661181M. Zelinka1.5011116113WSep 20 · 11:45R. Pisa1.671111113M. Makara2.106990LSep 20 · 10:15M. Zelinka1.731111113R. Pisa2.007980WSep 20 · 09:45O. Kaderabek1.91911941R. Pisa1.8011911113LSep 18 · 08:29M. Makara1.9111711123R. Pisa1.808118101LSep 18 · 07:15P. Fencl2.5081111113R. Pisa1.50117991LSep 18 · 06:45R. Pisa1.7312411982M. Kocvara2.001011611113WSep 18 · 05:45R. Pisa1.731111516113M. Makara2.00613111462LSep 15 · 09:04R. Pisa1.8376100L. Rulc1.831111123
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