TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13152617
Played Sep 18Finished
Michal Makara
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1187111181210––
Radovan Pisa
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMichal Makara above · Radovan Pisa below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 78 set 4, 12-10
78 points played in total.
H2H Michal Makara 30–38 Radovan Pisa Michal Makara has won 30 of their 68 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pisa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pisa form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMakara 1.91 / Pisa 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pisa)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13152617
Makara1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 155 of 342
Down 0–1, comes back25% 45 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 86
Pisa1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite50% won 78 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it88% 36 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it66% 57 of 86
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMakara5wins
AwayPisa5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMakara66.7%2 of 3
AwayPisa57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Makara3Pisa7n = 10Pisa took 7 of 10
S2Makara7Pisa3n = 10Makara took 7 of 10
S3Makara6Pisa4n = 10Makara took 6 of 10
S4Makara3Pisa6n = 9Pisa took 6 of 9
S5Makara3Pisa2n = 5Makara took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMakaraPisaM − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match44.645.2−0.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMakaraPisaBasisWin rate · lifetime501 / 1050 vs 383 / 78647.7%48.7%501 / 1050 vs 383 / 786Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PisaMakara 1.91/Pisa 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pisa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Makara won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 18 · 05:45M. Makara50613111462R. Pisa541111516113
WSep 14 · 16:43M. Makara511111117113R. Pisa4581361172
LSep 14 · 15:45M. Makara4011111081R. Pisa4313712113
WSep 8 · 12:29M. Makara47111185123R. Pisa49891111102
LSep 8 · 11:30M. Makara377713101R. Pisa45111111123
WAug 31 · 07:15M. Makara54813127143R. Pisa5511111011122
WAug 28 · 08:28M. Makara3961111113R. Pisa37119981
LAug 28 · 07:30M. Makara4413591162R. Pisa491111115113
WAug 22 · 20:44M. Makara3961111113R. Pisa30119551
M. Makara10
LSep 18 · 07:45M. Makara2.2071113992M. Kocvara1.611191111113WSep 18 · 06:15P. Fencl2.25111011972M. Makara1.57812711113LSep 18 · 05:45R. Pisa1.731111516113M. Makara2.00613111462WSep 17 · 12:18M. Makara1.67117117113T. Liska2.1041181192LSep 17 · 11:45O. Kaderabek1.61611118113M. Makara2.2011691172LSep 17 · 10:45T. Liska2.2511117113M. Makara1.57791131LSep 17 · 09:15L. Svoboda1.5311121010113M. Makara2.38410121272LSep 16 · 08:44M. Makara2.001171112152L. Veigl1.731311710173WSep 16 · 07:45L. Veigl1.8311710M. Makara1.831311113WSep 16 · 06:45O. Kaderabek1.61115111172M. Makara2.20911138113
R. Pisa10
LSep 18 · 07:15P. Fencl2.5081111113R. Pisa1.50117991LSep 18 · 06:45R. Pisa1.7312411982M. Kocvara2.001011611113WSep 18 · 05:45R. Pisa1.731111516113M. Makara2.00613111462LSep 15 · 09:04R. Pisa1.8376100L. Rulc1.831111123WSep 15 · 08:00R. Pisa1.73311811113J. Senk2.0011811752WSep 15 · 06:30M. Ullman1.837111361R. Pisa1.8311915113WSep 15 · 06:00L. Rulc1.9189120R. Pisa1.801111143LSep 14 · 16:43M. Makara1.911111117113R. Pisa1.8081361172WSep 14 · 15:45R. Pisa1.7313712113M. Makara2.0011111081WSep 14 · 14:15O. Mezera2.3891111852R. Pisa1.53118511113
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