TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148374
Played Sep 18Finished
Radovan Pisa
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210411116911811
Martin Kocvara
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadovan Pisa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadovan Pisa above · Martin Kocvara below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 93 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Radovan Pisa at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Pisa 6–11 Martin Kocvara Radovan Pisa has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:50What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pisa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-11 in 17
Kocvara
Correct
gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pisa 1733 vs Kocvara 1666
Pisa
Wrong
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pisa 80% vs Kocvara 40%
Pisa
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pisa 80% vs Kocvara 40%
Pisa
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pisa +1 · Kocvara -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Pisa) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pisa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPisa 1.73 / Kocvara 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Pisa)+1.4pp
Setka Cup · #13148374
Pisa1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 78 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it88% 36 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it66% 57 of 86
Kocvara2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog55% won 48 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back47% 22 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back23% 5 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePisa5wins
AwayKocvara5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePisa50%3 of 6
AwayKocvara50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pisa6Kocvara4n = 10Pisa took 6 of 10
S2Pisa6Kocvara4n = 10Pisa took 6 of 10
S3Pisa6Kocvara4n = 10Pisa took 6 of 10
S4Pisa4Kocvara4n = 8split evenly
S5Pisa1Kocvara3n = 4Kocvara took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPisaKocvaraP − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.837.0+4.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPisaKocvaraBasisWin rate · lifetime383 / 786 vs 85 / 15048.7%56.7%383 / 786 vs 85 / 150Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PisaPisa 1.73/Kocvara 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.1%
Pisa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kocvara won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 06:45R. Pisa4412411982M. Kocvara491011611113
WSep 13 · 18:45R. Pisa341211113M. Kocvara2310490
LSep 10 · 09:03R. Pisa4111713101M. Kocvara4241115123
WSep 10 · 05:30R. Pisa50811119113M. Kocvara4811891192
LAug 23 · 11:45R. Pisa4611881182M. Kocvara42411115113
WAug 12 · 06:15R. Pisa4281112113M. Kocvara311161041
WAug 10 · 09:45R. Pisa341111123M. Kocvara2257100
LAug 5 · 12:19R. Pisa378811101M. Kocvara4111117123
WAug 5 · 11:15R. Pisa4111118113M. Kocvara23321171
LJul 26 · 12:49R. Pisa4991191282M. Kocvara491161110113
R. Pisa10
LSep 18 · 07:15P. Fencl2.5081111113R. Pisa1.50117991WSep 18 · 05:45R. Pisa1.731111516113M. Makara2.00613111462LSep 15 · 09:04R. Pisa1.8376100L. Rulc1.831111123WSep 15 · 08:00R. Pisa1.73311811113J. Senk2.0011811752WSep 15 · 06:30M. Ullman1.837111361R. Pisa1.8311915113WSep 15 · 06:00L. Rulc1.9189120R. Pisa1.801111143LSep 14 · 16:43M. Makara1.911111117113R. Pisa1.8081361172WSep 14 · 15:45R. Pisa1.7313712113M. Makara2.0011111081WSep 14 · 14:15O. Mezera2.3891111852R. Pisa1.53118511113WSep 14 · 13:45S. Rejent1.91121070R. Pisa1.801412113
M. Kocvara10
LSep 18 · 05:15P. Fencl2.5013118113M. Kocvara1.501151121WSep 15 · 12:44M. Kocvara2.5071211113T. Liska1.501110341LSep 15 · 11:45T. Liska1.731111113M. Kocvara2.004960WSep 15 · 10:45J. Dolezal2.10771181M. Kocvara1.6711118113LSep 15 · 09:15M. Vyskocil1.911112113M. Kocvara1.8081090LSep 13 · 20:14M. Kocvara1.73511911102M. Vyskocil2.00114115123WSep 13 · 19:15M. Vyskocil1.8311101161M. Kocvara1.8311213113LSep 13 · 18:45M. Kocvara1.8310490R. Pisa1.831211113LSep 13 · 17:45M. Kocvara2.634530J. Sr1.441111113WSep 10 · 09:03R. Pisa1.8311713101M. Kocvara1.8341115123
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