TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Radovan Pisa
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611611116811––
Matus Zelinka
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingRadovan Pisa above · Matus Zelinka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 70 set 4, 8-11
70 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Pisa 18–25 Matus Zelinka Radovan Pisa has won 18 of their 43 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Zelinka beat Pisa 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Zelinka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelinka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPisa 2.50 / Zelinka 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Zelinka)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13164312
Pisa2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 80 of 178
Down 0–1, comes back29% 29 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back13% 7 of 55
Zelinka1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 63 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it78% 42 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePisa5wins
AwayZelinka5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePisa80%4 of 5
AwayZelinka80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pisa5Zelinka5n = 10split evenly
S2Pisa2Zelinka8n = 10Zelinka took 8 of 10
S3Pisa6Zelinka4n = 10Pisa took 6 of 10
S4Pisa5Zelinka3n = 8Pisa took 5 of 8
S5Pisa2Zelinka2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPisaZelinkaP − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.938.4+0.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPisaZelinkaBasisWin rate · lifetime382 / 786 vs 207 / 39048.6%53.1%382 / 786 vs 207 / 390Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZelinkaPisa 2.50/Zelinka 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Zelinka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zelinka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 10:15R. Pisa247980M. Zelinka331111113
WAug 30 · 08:28R. Pisa3811115113M. Zelinka32761181
LAug 30 · 06:45R. Pisa50111011992M. Zelinka44612411113
LAug 11 · 07:15R. Pisa33861181M. Zelinka3611113113
WAug 10 · 12:48R. Pisa46841211113M. Zelinka48111110882
WAug 10 · 10:45R. Pisa3911116113M. Zelinka30961141
LAug 8 · 17:45R. Pisa2571350M. Zelinka371115113
WJul 27 · 20:00R. Pisa521191110113M. Zelinka4241181272
WJun 14 · 07:30R. Pisa4312911113M. Zelinka351011681
LMay 11 · 10:15R. Pisa3975111152M. Zelinka47111177113
R. Pisa10
WSep 20 · 11:45R. Pisa1.671111113M. Makara2.106990LSep 20 · 10:15M. Zelinka1.731111113R. Pisa2.007980WSep 20 · 09:45O. Kaderabek1.91911941R. Pisa1.8011911113LSep 18 · 08:29M. Makara1.9111711123R. Pisa1.808118101LSep 18 · 07:15P. Fencl2.5081111113R. Pisa1.50117991LSep 18 · 06:45R. Pisa1.7312411982M. Kocvara2.001011611113WSep 18 · 05:45R. Pisa1.731111516113M. Makara2.00613111462LSep 15 · 09:04R. Pisa1.8376100L. Rulc1.831111123WSep 15 · 08:00R. Pisa1.73311811113J. Senk2.0011811752WSep 15 · 06:30M. Ullman1.837111361R. Pisa1.8311915113
M. Zelinka10
WSep 20 · 11:15M. Zelinka1.6111611113O. Kaderabek2.20711591WSep 20 · 10:15M. Zelinka1.731111113R. Pisa2.007980WSep 20 · 09:15M. Zelinka1.9131111113M. Makara1.80118911LSep 10 · 16:44M. Zelinka1.4010690L. Svoboda2.751211113WSep 10 · 15:45L. Svoboda2.503990M. Zelinka1.501111113LSep 10 · 14:45J. Sr1.8311126113M. Zelinka1.837101151LSep 10 · 13:15S. Rejent2.50111146133M. Zelinka1.50741111112WSep 10 · 08:53M. Zelinka2.0012116113L. Dobias1.731091191LSep 10 · 07:45L. Dobias1.7311117113M. Zelinka2.00871191WSep 10 · 06:45L. Heinzl1.831261051M. Zelinka1.83101112113
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