TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Radovan Pisa
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111113611––––
Matus Zelinka
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:04 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeMatus Zelinka to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadovan Pisa above · Matus Zelinka below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 57 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Matus Zelinka at 56.2%
57 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Pisa 18–26 Matus Zelinka Radovan Pisa has won 18 of their 44 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 21:04What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zelinka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-26 in 44
Zelinka
Correct
gap of 8 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pisa 1752 vs Zelinka 1758
Zelinka
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pisa 60% vs Zelinka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pisa 50% vs Zelinka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pisa +2 · Zelinka -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Zelinka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pisa form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPisa 2.10 / Zelinka 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Zelinka)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13166597
Pisa2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 79 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back29% 29 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back13% 7 of 56
Zelinka1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 65 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it90% 27 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it79% 44 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePisa5wins
AwayZelinka5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePisa80%4 of 5
AwayZelinka80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pisa5Zelinka5n = 10split evenly
S2Pisa2Zelinka8n = 10Zelinka took 8 of 10
S3Pisa6Zelinka4n = 10Pisa took 6 of 10
S4Pisa4Zelinka4n = 8split evenly
S5Pisa2Zelinka1n = 3Pisa took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPisaZelinkaP − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.137.6+0.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPisaZelinkaBasisWin rate · lifetime381 / 785 vs 206 / 38948.5%53%381 / 785 vs 206 / 389Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZelinkaPisa 2.10/Zelinka 1.67
Hit
What we said
56.2%
Zelinka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zelinka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 12:43R. Pisa31661181M. Zelinka3911116113
LSep 20 · 10:15R. Pisa247980M. Zelinka331111113
WAug 30 · 08:28R. Pisa3811115113M. Zelinka32761181
LAug 30 · 06:45R. Pisa50111011992M. Zelinka44612411113
LAug 11 · 07:15R. Pisa33861181M. Zelinka3611113113
WAug 10 · 12:48R. Pisa46841211113M. Zelinka48111110882
WAug 10 · 10:45R. Pisa3911116113M. Zelinka30961141
LAug 8 · 17:45R. Pisa2571350M. Zelinka371115113
WJul 27 · 20:00R. Pisa521191110113M. Zelinka4241181272
WJun 14 · 07:30R. Pisa4312911113M. Zelinka351011681
R. Pisa10
WSep 21 · 10:15M. Stibor1.739580R. Pisa2.001111113WSep 21 · 09:45L. Adam1.5315560R. Pisa2.381711113LSep 20 · 12:43R. Pisa2.50661181M. Zelinka1.5011116113WSep 20 · 11:45R. Pisa1.671111113M. Makara2.106990LSep 20 · 10:15M. Zelinka1.731111113R. Pisa2.007980WSep 20 · 09:45O. Kaderabek1.91911941R. Pisa1.8011911113LSep 18 · 08:29M. Makara1.9111711123R. Pisa1.808118101LSep 18 · 07:15P. Fencl2.5081111113R. Pisa1.50117991LSep 18 · 06:45R. Pisa1.7312411982M. Kocvara2.001011611113WSep 18 · 05:45R. Pisa1.731111516113M. Makara2.00613111462
M. Zelinka10
WSep 21 · 12:21M. Zelinka1.331111113M. Stibor3.256860LSep 21 · 10:45L. Adam2.38118811113M. Zelinka1.5351111662LSep 21 · 09:15M. Stibor2.251111113M. Zelinka1.575780WSep 20 · 12:43R. Pisa2.50661181M. Zelinka1.5011116113WSep 20 · 11:15M. Zelinka1.6111611113O. Kaderabek2.20711591WSep 20 · 10:15M. Zelinka1.731111113R. Pisa2.007980WSep 20 · 09:15M. Zelinka1.9131111113M. Makara1.80118911LSep 10 · 16:44M. Zelinka1.4010690L. Svoboda2.751211113WSep 10 · 15:45L. Svoboda2.503990M. Zelinka1.501111113LSep 10 · 14:45J. Sr1.8311126113M. Zelinka1.837101151
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