TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jakub Mach vs Michal Kolbusovsky 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Jakub Mach
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111181416117114
Michal Kolbusovsky
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:55 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeJakub Mach to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Mach above · Michal Kolbusovsky below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 14-16
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 99 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Jakub Mach at 63.6%
99 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Mach 1–0 Michal Kolbusovsky Michal Kolbusovsky has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:55What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Mach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Mach 1550 vs Kolbusovsky 1216
Mach
Correct
both rated, 334 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mach 60% vs Kolbusovsky 20%
Mach
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mach 70% vs Kolbusovsky 20%
Mach
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mach +2 · Kolbusovsky -3
Kolbusovsky
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Mach) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolbusovsky form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMach 1.53 / Kolbusovsky 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Mach)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13169086
Mach1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 41 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it83% 19 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it75% 33 of 44
Kolbusovsky2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog34% won 53 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back19% 17 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMach1wins
AwayKolbusovsky0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderMach leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMachKolbusovskyM − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match47.045.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachKolbusovskyBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 406 vs 207 / 46148.3%44.9%196 / 406 vs 207 / 461Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MachMach 1.53/Kolbusovsky 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Mach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJun 24 · 20:25J. Mach47681111113M. Kolbusovsky4511119772
J. Mach10
WSep 21 · 19:20J. Mach2.0011811113Z. Vyskocil1.73911671WSep 21 · 18:20J. Mach1.5015411113R. Zeman2.501311931LSep 15 · 21:50R. Zeman2.651111113J. Mach1.426480WSep 15 · 20:20M. Nemec2.63101171172J. Mach1.44129119113LSep 15 · 19:50R. Zeman3.00811128113J. Mach1.36119101192WSep 15 · 18:50J. Mach1.571111133M. Dlask2.2536110WAug 25 · 21:55M. Nemec1.7054120J. Mach1.961111143WAug 25 · 20:20J. Mach1.571111811113M. Dlask2.2599111342WAug 25 · 19:20J. Mach1.5041111113R. Zeman2.50119891LAug 25 · 18:20J. Mach1.5011101191M. Nemec2.5091213113
M. Kolbusovsky10
WSep 21 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil1.4044120M. Kolbusovsky2.701111143LSep 21 · 19:50R. Zeman1.111111113M. Kolbusovsky6.004870LSep 21 · 18:50M. Kolbusovsky2.381091171Z. Vyskocil1.5312114113LSep 21 · 14:00T. Jr1.20111111113M. Kolbusovsky3.80881391WSep 21 · 12:20S. Matousch1.4411118582M. Kolbusovsky2.63891111113LSep 21 · 11:50T. Jr1.53111111113M. Kolbusovsky2.38691381WSep 21 · 10:50M. Kolbusovsky3.00119115113J. Vintr1.3671181142LSep 18 · 17:25M. Nemec1.91911911153M. Kolbusovsky1.80118112132LSep 18 · 16:20M. Kolbusovsky2.63413941P. Cibik1.44111111113LSep 18 · 15:20M. Kolbusovsky5.003690R. Zeman1.141111113
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