TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Jakub Mach
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119811116117––
Zbynek Vyskocil
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Mach to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Mach above · Zbynek Vyskocil below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 74 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Jakub Mach at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Mach 27–28 Zbynek Vyskocil Jakub Mach has won 27 of their 55 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:39What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vyskocil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-28 in 55
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mach 1539 vs Vyskocil 1517
Mach
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mach 60% vs Vyskocil 40%
Mach
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mach 70% vs Vyskocil 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mach +1 · Vyskocil +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vyskocil) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vyskocil form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMach 2.00 / Vyskocil 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vyskocil)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13168735
Mach2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog39% won 20 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back23% 7 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Vyskocil1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 62 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it71% 48 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMach2wins
AwayVyskocil8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVyskocil leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMach66.7%2 of 3
AwayVyskocil100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mach3Vyskocil7n = 10Vyskocil took 7 of 10
S2Mach3Vyskocil7n = 10Vyskocil took 7 of 10
S3Mach4Vyskocil6n = 10Vyskocil took 6 of 10
S4Mach1Vyskocil4n = 5Vyskocil took 4 of 5
S5Mach1Vyskocil2n = 3Vyskocil took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricMachVyskocilM − VBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.638.0−3.4per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachVyskocilBasisWin rate · lifetime195 / 405 vs 296 / 60148.2%49.3%195 / 405 vs 296 / 601Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VyskocilMach 2.00/Vyskocil 1.73
Miss
What we said
54%
Vyskocil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 17 · 21:55J. Mach331111113Z. Vyskocil194870
LJun 17 · 20:25J. Mach239680Z. Vyskocil331111113
LApr 23 · 18:20J. Mach2341090Z. Vyskocil341112113
LApr 14 · 19:50J. Mach2587100Z. Vyskocil341111123
LApr 7 · 20:25J. Mach361111591Z. Vyskocil4213711113
LMar 25 · 22:19J. Mach51111281192Z. Vyskocil49814115113
LMar 25 · 21:20J. Mach2571080Z. Vyskocil341112113
WMar 20 · 21:50J. Mach47117117113Z. Vyskocil4781191182
LMar 17 · 19:20J. Mach4681111972Z. Vyskocil45115711113
LMar 10 · 19:50J. Mach371251191Z. Vyskocil4314117113
J. Mach10
WSep 21 · 18:20J. Mach1.5015411113R. Zeman2.501311931LSep 15 · 21:50R. Zeman2.651111113J. Mach1.426480WSep 15 · 20:20M. Nemec2.63101171172J. Mach1.44129119113LSep 15 · 19:50R. Zeman3.00811128113J. Mach1.36119101192WSep 15 · 18:50J. Mach1.571111133M. Dlask2.2536110WAug 25 · 21:55M. Nemec1.7054120J. Mach1.961111143WAug 25 · 20:20J. Mach1.571111811113M. Dlask2.2599111342WAug 25 · 19:20J. Mach1.5041111113R. Zeman2.50119891LAug 25 · 18:20J. Mach1.5011101191M. Nemec2.5091213113WAug 23 · 17:59J. Mach1.731113113M. Nemec2.0011190
Z. Vyskocil10
WSep 21 · 18:50M. Kolbusovsky2.381091171Z. Vyskocil1.5312114113LSep 20 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil1.8510850L. Vich1.851211113LSep 20 · 20:50T. Jr1.73117118113Z. Vyskocil2.0091141142LSep 20 · 19:50Z. Vyskocil1.67991151P. Cibik2.1011118113WSep 20 · 18:20L. Vich2.007180Z. Vyskocil1.731111113WSep 16 · 21:55Z. Vyskocil2.2012116113T. Barsa1.601081181WSep 16 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil2.25811611113T. Barsa1.5711911982WSep 16 · 19:20S. Matousch1.6711911882Z. Vyskocil2.10611611113WSep 16 · 18:50P. Cibik2.2061191152Z. Vyskocil1.61117116113LSep 14 · 21:30Z. Vyskocil1.551112513102P. Cibik2.308141111123
Upcoming Matches
J. Mach
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Z. Vyskocil
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