TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Tomas Cerveny Jr
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119711114811114
Zbynek Vyskocil
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:54 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeTomas Cerveny Jr to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Cerveny Jr above · Zbynek Vyskocil below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 87 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Tomas Cerveny Jr at 54.5%
87 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Cerveny Jr 28–22 Zbynek Vyskocil Zbynek Vyskocil has won 22 of their 50 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:54What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-22 in 50
Jr
Correct
gap of 6 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1572 vs Vyskocil 1529
Jr
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 80% vs Vyskocil 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 60% vs Vyskocil 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr +3 · Vyskocil -1
Jr
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vyskocil form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.73 / Vyskocil 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Jr)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13164796
Jr1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 67 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it83% 53 of 64
Vyskocil2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 50 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back30% 21 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr6wins
AwayVyskocil4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr80%4 of 5
AwayVyskocil60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr5Vyskocil5n = 10split evenly
S2Jr5Vyskocil5n = 10split evenly
S3Jr6Vyskocil4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S4Jr4Vyskocil5n = 9Vyskocil took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrVyskocilJ − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.437.5+1.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrVyskocilBasisWin rate · lifetime335 / 608 vs 296 / 60055.1%49.3%335 / 608 vs 296 / 600Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.73/Vyskocil 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 20:50T. Jr48117118113Z. Vyskocil3991141142
WSep 10 · 19:55T. Jr3811115113Z. Vyskocil28851141
WSep 6 · 22:04T. Jr47371212133Z. Vyskocil5311111010112
LSep 6 · 20:55T. Jr31116771Z. Vyskocil4181111113
WAug 30 · 21:55T. Jr331111113Z. Vyskocil167270
LAug 30 · 20:50T. Jr4112514101Z. Vyskocil49141112123
WAug 27 · 22:00T. Jr45111112113Z. Vyskocil29441471
WAug 27 · 19:20T. Jr4381111133Z. Vyskocil381197111
LAug 24 · 20:20T. Jr366119101Z. Vyskocil4311911123
LAug 17 · 20:50T. Jr32481191Z. Vyskocil3911116113
T. Jr10
WSep 20 · 19:20L. Vich1.807760T. Jr1.911111113WSep 20 · 18:50P. Cibik3.401196101T. Jr1.3081111123WSep 18 · 13:25T. Jr1.8013117113P. Kubat1.911191141LSep 18 · 12:50T. Jr3.0061161132L. Rek1.36115110113WSep 18 · 11:20P. Kubat1.61681361T. Jr2.20111111113LSep 18 · 10:50A. Jr1.73121511113T. Jr2.001017671WSep 15 · 17:20A. Jr1.801378101T. Jr1.91111111123LSep 15 · 16:20T. Jr2.00119111122D. Zelezny1.73611913113LSep 15 · 15:20T. Jr2.00101112962A. Jr1.731291011113WSep 15 · 14:20T. Jr1.50117911113T. Rein2.5061111692
Z. Vyskocil10
LSep 20 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil1.8510850L. Vich1.851211113LSep 20 · 19:50Z. Vyskocil1.67991151P. Cibik2.1011118113WSep 20 · 18:20L. Vich2.007180Z. Vyskocil1.731111113WSep 16 · 21:55Z. Vyskocil2.2012116113T. Barsa1.601081181WSep 16 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil2.25811611113T. Barsa1.5711911982WSep 16 · 19:20S. Matousch1.6711911882Z. Vyskocil2.10611611113WSep 16 · 18:50P. Cibik2.2061191152Z. Vyskocil1.61117116113LSep 14 · 21:30Z. Vyskocil1.551112513102P. Cibik2.308141111123LSep 14 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil1.73111031182L. Vich2.00912117113WSep 14 · 19:20P. Cibik2.00911691Z. Vyskocil1.7311411113
Upcoming Matches
T. Jr
Z. Vyskocil
Nothing scheduled
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