TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13131539
Played Sep 14Finished
Zbynek Vyskocil
Home
1.55
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118121451113111012
Pavel Cibik
Away
2.30
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingZbynek Vyskocil above · Pavel Cibik below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 107 set 5, 10-12
107 points played in total.
H2H Zbynek Vyskocil 44–34 Pavel Cibik Pavel Cibik has won 34 of their 78 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Vyskocil beat Cibik 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Vyskocil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vyskocil form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVyskocil 1.55 / Cibik 2.30
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Vyskocil)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13131539
Vyskocil1.55
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 62 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it72% 48 of 67
Cibik2.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 66 of 150
Down 0–1, comes back26% 22 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back12% 5 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVyskocil6wins
AwayCibik4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVyskocil leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVyskocil80%4 of 5
AwayCibik60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vyskocil5Cibik5n = 10split evenly
S2Vyskocil5Cibik5n = 10split evenly
S3Vyskocil6Cibik4n = 10Vyskocil took 6 of 10
S4Vyskocil4Cibik2n = 6Vyskocil took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVyskocilCibikV − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.538.0−1.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVyskocilCibikBasisWin rate · lifetime296 / 602 vs 314 / 68249.2%46%296 / 602 vs 314 / 682Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VyskocilVyskocil 1.55/Cibik 2.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Vyskocil · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Cibik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 19:20Z. Vyskocil3711411113P. Cibik35911691
WSep 7 · 19:20Z. Vyskocil371113133P. Cibik30811110
WSep 6 · 13:53Z. Vyskocil49119711113P. Cibik4591111682
WSep 6 · 11:50Z. Vyskocil351111133P. Cibik2678110
WAug 30 · 18:20Z. Vyskocil4181111113P. Cibik34117791
LAug 11 · 21:20Z. Vyskocil189540P. Cibik331111113
LAug 11 · 18:20Z. Vyskocil30711481P. Cibik4111811113
LJul 6 · 19:55Z. Vyskocil51118121192P. Cibik549111013113
LJul 3 · 19:20Z. Vyskocil133640P. Cibik331111113
WMay 17 · 18:55Z. Vyskocil54151211163P. Cibik4917108141
Z. Vyskocil10
LSep 14 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil1.73111031182L. Vich2.00912117113WSep 14 · 19:20P. Cibik2.00911691Z. Vyskocil1.7311411113LSep 14 · 18:50S. Matousch1.7311713113Z. Vyskocil2.005111191WSep 10 · 22:05T. Barsa1.73105111232Z. Vyskocil2.001211310113LSep 10 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil2.38127111162T. Barsa1.53141154113LSep 10 · 19:55T. Jr1.8311115113Z. Vyskocil1.83851141WSep 10 · 19:25M. Juhasz1.83411181Z. Vyskocil1.8311116113LSep 7 · 21:50L. Vich2.0011411133Z. Vyskocil1.737119111LSep 7 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil1.73117811L. Vich2.0081111113WSep 7 · 19:20P. Cibik2.10811110Z. Vyskocil1.671113133
P. Cibik10
LSep 14 · 20:20P. Cibik1.676760S. Matousch2.101111113LSep 14 · 19:20P. Cibik2.00911691Z. Vyskocil1.7311411113LSep 14 · 18:20P. Cibik1.83111191192L. Vich1.83471113113WSep 13 · 13:55P. Cibik1.6161113113R. Zeman2.201191171WSep 13 · 12:50Z. Dusek1.837111091P. Cibik1.8311812113WSep 13 · 11:50P. Cibik1.531111123R. Zeman2.3857100WSep 13 · 10:20M. Nemec2.2511126101P. Cibik1.5741411123WSep 12 · 18:29O. Hula1.67119891P. Cibik2.1061111113LSep 12 · 17:25O. Hula2.10111213113P. Cibik1.6713101121LSep 7 · 19:20P. Cibik2.10811110Z. Vyskocil1.671113133
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