TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13129124
Played Sep 14Finished
Simon Matousch
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1157111311119––
Zbynek Vyskocil
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSimon Matousch to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSimon Matousch above · Zbynek Vyskocil below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Simon Matousch at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Simon Matousch 4–0 Zbynek Vyskocil Zbynek Vyskocil has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 12:01What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Matousch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Matousch
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Matousch 1306 vs Vyskocil 1537
Vyskocil
Wrong
both rated, 230 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Matousch 0% vs Vyskocil 40%
Vyskocil
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Matousch 10% vs Vyskocil 50%
Vyskocil
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Matousch -5 · Vyskocil +1
Matousch
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vyskocil) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matousch form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMatousch 1.73 / Vyskocil 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vyskocil)+7.7pp
TT Cup · #13129124
Matousch1.73
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 25 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it70% 21 of 30
Vyskocil2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 48 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back28% 20 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMatousch4wins
AwayVyskocil0wins
1 of 4 to a deciderMatousch leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMatousch100%4 of 4
AwayVyskociln = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Matousch4Vyskocil0n = 4Matousch took 4 of 4
S2Matousch4Vyskocil0n = 4Matousch took 4 of 4
S3Matousch2Vyskocil2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricMatouschVyskocilM − VBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match38.830.5+8.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMatouschVyskocilBasisWin rate · lifetime161 / 347 vs 295 / 60246.4%49%161 / 347 vs 295 / 602Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VyskocilMatousch 1.73/Vyskocil 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vyskocil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Matousch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WMay 1 · 18:20S. Matousch4011126113Z. Vyskocil369101161
WMar 20 · 19:50S. Matousch49111197113Z. Vyskocil4579111172
WOct 15 · 21:40S. Matousch331111113Z. Vyskocil182970
WOct 15 · 19:40S. Matousch331111113Z. Vyskocil238960
S. Matousch10
WSep 14 · 19:50L. Vich1.618570S. Matousch2.201111113LSep 9 · 17:20M. Cesak1.571411133S. Matousch2.25128110LSep 9 · 16:20S. Matousch2.7578100M. Cesak1.401111123LSep 9 · 15:20S. Matousch1.8082131142Z. Dusek1.911111119113LSep 9 · 14:20S. Matousch1.9171111942P. Cibik1.80119911113LSep 3 · 14:04T. Jr1.171111113S. Matousch4.503530LSep 3 · 12:20S. Matousch1.57119371P. Cibik2.2581111113WSep 3 · 11:20S. Matousch2.251112123J. Vintr1.57410100LSep 3 · 10:20S. Matousch2.6381111552T. Jr1.44118411113LSep 1 · 13:30J. Rolik2.20811148123S. Matousch1.611171211102
Z. Vyskocil10
WSep 14 · 19:20P. Cibik2.00911691Z. Vyskocil1.7311411113WSep 10 · 22:05T. Barsa1.73105111232Z. Vyskocil2.001211310113LSep 10 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil2.38127111162T. Barsa1.53141154113LSep 10 · 19:55T. Jr1.8311115113Z. Vyskocil1.83851141WSep 10 · 19:25M. Juhasz1.83411181Z. Vyskocil1.8311116113LSep 7 · 21:50L. Vich2.0011411133Z. Vyskocil1.737119111LSep 7 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil1.73117811L. Vich2.0081111113WSep 7 · 19:20P. Cibik2.10811110Z. Vyskocil1.671113133WSep 7 · 18:50R. Zeman2.7581070Z. Vyskocil1.401112113LSep 6 · 22:04Z. Vyskocil1.6711111010112T. Jr2.10371212133
Upcoming Matches
S. Matousch
Z. Vyskocil
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.