TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13129210
Played Sep 14Finished
Pavel Cibik
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911114611911––
Zbynek Vyskocil
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeZbynek Vyskocil to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Cibik above · Zbynek Vyskocil below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 72 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Zbynek Vyskocil at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Cibik 34–43 Zbynek Vyskocil Pavel Cibik has won 34 of their 77 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 12:25What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vyskocil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-43 in 77
Vyskocil
Correct
gap of 9 in 77, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cibik 1490 vs Vyskocil 1518
Vyskocil
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cibik 80% vs Vyskocil 40%
Cibik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cibik 80% vs Vyskocil 40%
Cibik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cibik -1 · Vyskocil -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vyskocil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vyskocil form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCibik 2.00 / Vyskocil 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vyskocil)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13129210
Cibik2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 66 of 150
Down 0–1, comes back26% 22 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back12% 5 of 43
Vyskocil1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 62 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it72% 48 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCibik4wins
AwayVyskocil6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVyskocil leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCibik60%3 of 5
AwayVyskocil80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cibik5Vyskocil5n = 10split evenly
S2Cibik4Vyskocil6n = 10Vyskocil took 6 of 10
S3Cibik4Vyskocil6n = 10Vyskocil took 6 of 10
S4Cibik2Vyskocil3n = 5Vyskocil took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricCibikVyskocilC − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.036.2+0.8per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCibikVyskocilBasisWin rate · lifetime314 / 680 vs 295 / 60246.2%49%314 / 680 vs 295 / 602Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VyskocilCibik 2.00/Vyskocil 1.73
Hit
What we said
54%
Vyskocil · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vyskocil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 19:20P. Cibik30811110Z. Vyskocil371113133
LSep 6 · 13:53P. Cibik4591111682Z. Vyskocil49119711113
LSep 6 · 11:50P. Cibik2678110Z. Vyskocil351111133
LAug 30 · 18:20P. Cibik34117791Z. Vyskocil4181111113
WAug 11 · 21:20P. Cibik331111113Z. Vyskocil189540
WAug 11 · 18:20P. Cibik4111811113Z. Vyskocil30711481
WJul 6 · 19:55P. Cibik549111013113Z. Vyskocil51118121192
WJul 3 · 19:20P. Cibik331111113Z. Vyskocil133640
LMay 17 · 18:55P. Cibik4917108141Z. Vyskocil54151211163
LMay 1 · 21:25P. Cibik2596100Z. Vyskocil341111123
P. Cibik10
LSep 14 · 18:20P. Cibik1.83111191192L. Vich1.83471113113WSep 13 · 13:55P. Cibik1.6161113113R. Zeman2.201191171WSep 13 · 12:50Z. Dusek1.837111091P. Cibik1.8311812113WSep 13 · 11:50P. Cibik1.531111123R. Zeman2.3857100WSep 13 · 10:20M. Nemec2.2511126101P. Cibik1.5741411123WSep 12 · 18:29O. Hula1.67119891P. Cibik2.1061111113LSep 12 · 17:25O. Hula2.10111213113P. Cibik1.6713101121WSep 12 · 16:25P. Cibik1.5011111112123M. Kolbusovsky2.50136114102WSep 12 · 14:55R. Zeman2.3859111152P. Cibik1.53111188113WSep 11 · 21:55P. Cibik1.2511811113M. Kolbusovsky3.35611981
Z. Vyskocil10
LSep 14 · 18:50S. Matousch1.7311713113Z. Vyskocil2.005111191WSep 10 · 22:05T. Barsa1.73105111232Z. Vyskocil2.001211310113LSep 10 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil2.38127111162T. Barsa1.53141154113LSep 10 · 19:55T. Jr1.8311115113Z. Vyskocil1.83851141WSep 10 · 19:25M. Juhasz1.83411181Z. Vyskocil1.8311116113LSep 7 · 21:50L. Vich2.0011411133Z. Vyskocil1.737119111LSep 7 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil1.73117811L. Vich2.0081111113WSep 7 · 19:20P. Cibik2.10811110Z. Vyskocil1.671113133WSep 7 · 18:50R. Zeman2.7581070Z. Vyskocil1.401112113LSep 6 · 22:04Z. Vyskocil1.6711111010112T. Jr2.10371212133
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