TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Lukas Vich
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711611––––
Tomas Cerveny Jr
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:14 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeLukas Vich to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Vich above · Tomas Cerveny Jr below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 53 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Lukas Vich at 56.2%
53 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Vich 21–15 Tomas Cerveny Jr Tomas Cerveny Jr has won 15 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:14What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vich
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-15 in 36
Vich
Wrong
gap of 6 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vich 1525 vs Jr 1536
Jr
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vich 60% vs Jr 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vich 60% vs Jr 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vich -1 · Jr +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jr) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVich 1.80 / Jr 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jr)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13164307
Vich1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite52% won 34 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it65% 20 of 31
Jr1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 36 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back20% 12 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVich7wins
AwayJr3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVich leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVich100%6 of 6
AwayJr75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vich6Jr4n = 10Vich took 6 of 10
S2Vich5Jr5n = 10split evenly
S3Vich9Jr1n = 10Vich took 9 of 10
S4Vich3Jr3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVichJrV − JBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.234.0+4.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVichJrBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 511 vs 333 / 60646.8%55%239 / 511 vs 333 / 606Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrVich 1.80/Jr 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 19:55L. Vich4111811113T. Jr37811991
WAug 20 · 20:50L. Vich48117118113T. Jr4671191182
LAug 6 · 22:28L. Vich257990T. Jr331111113
WAug 6 · 20:55L. Vich331111113T. Jr208840
LJul 31 · 18:55L. Vich4381411101T. Jr4811169123
WJun 25 · 20:20L. Vich331111113T. Jr147430
WJun 23 · 20:55L. Vich3811511113T. Jr30811561
WJun 21 · 20:55L. Vich3851111113T. Jr35119781
WJun 11 · 20:55L. Vich341112113T. Jr2571080
LJun 10 · 19:55L. Vich49912111162T. Jr521110713113
L. Vich10
LSep 20 · 20:20L. Vich2.5091111882P. Cibik1.50118611113LSep 20 · 18:20L. Vich2.007180Z. Vyskocil1.731111113WSep 14 · 22:00S. Matousch1.9013871182L. Vich1.801111117113WSep 14 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil1.73111031182L. Vich2.00912117113LSep 14 · 19:50L. Vich1.618570S. Matousch2.201111113WSep 14 · 18:20P. Cibik1.83111191192L. Vich1.83471113113WSep 7 · 21:50L. Vich2.0011411133Z. Vyskocil1.737119111WSep 7 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil1.73117811L. Vich2.0081111113WSep 7 · 19:50L. Vich1.611111113R. Zeman2.206640LSep 7 · 18:20P. Cibik1.83113711113L. Vich1.8391111952
T. Jr10
WSep 20 · 18:50P. Cibik3.401196101T. Jr1.3081111123WSep 18 · 13:25T. Jr1.8013117113P. Kubat1.911191141LSep 18 · 12:50T. Jr3.0061161132L. Rek1.36115110113WSep 18 · 11:20P. Kubat1.61681361T. Jr2.20111111113LSep 18 · 10:50A. Jr1.73121511113T. Jr2.001017671WSep 15 · 17:20A. Jr1.801378101T. Jr1.91111111123LSep 15 · 16:20T. Jr2.00119111122D. Zelezny1.73611913113LSep 15 · 15:20T. Jr2.00101112962A. Jr1.731291011113WSep 15 · 14:20T. Jr1.50117911113T. Rein2.5061111692WSep 10 · 22:35M. Juhasz1.80381121T. Jr1.9011119113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.