TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Lukas Vich
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911118116811811
Pavel Cibik
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Vich to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Vich above · Pavel Cibik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 94 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Lukas Vich at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Vich 39–33 Pavel Cibik Pavel Cibik has won 33 of their 72 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:42What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Cibik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-33 in 72
Vich
Wrong
gap of 6 in 72, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vich 1499 vs Cibik 1501
Cibik
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vich 40% vs Cibik 60%
Cibik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vich 60% vs Cibik 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vich -2 · Cibik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Cibik) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVich 2.50 / Cibik 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Cibik)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13164302
Vich2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog44% won 56 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back30% 24 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back13% 6 of 45
Cibik1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 71 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it77% 52 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVich5wins
AwayCibik5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVichn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayCibik50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vich2Cibik8n = 10Cibik took 8 of 10
S2Vich6Cibik4n = 10Vich took 6 of 10
S3Vich5Cibik5n = 10split evenly
S4Vich7Cibik2n = 9Vich took 7 of 9
S5Vich2Cibik3n = 5Cibik took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVichCibikV − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match40.238.1+2.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVichCibikBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 512 vs 313 / 67946.7%46.1%239 / 512 vs 313 / 679Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CibikVich 2.50/Cibik 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Cibik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Cibik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 18:20L. Vich46471113113P. Cibik51111191192
LSep 7 · 18:20L. Vich4591111952P. Cibik43113711113
WAug 11 · 20:20L. Vich4181111113P. Cibik29118461
WAug 5 · 20:50L. Vich3811511113P. Cibik24111481
LAug 4 · 21:54L. Vich4491181152P. Cibik45114118113
LAug 4 · 18:20L. Vich371110791P. Cibik3951211113
LJul 26 · 21:53L. Vich185760P. Cibik331111113
WJul 26 · 20:55L. Vich51811911123P. Cibik45118115102
LJul 17 · 18:20L. Vich4071151162P. Cibik44116115113
WJul 3 · 20:20L. Vich4291111113P. Cibik28115841
L. Vich10
LSep 20 · 19:20L. Vich1.807760T. Jr1.911111113LSep 20 · 18:20L. Vich2.007180Z. Vyskocil1.731111113WSep 14 · 22:00S. Matousch1.9013871182L. Vich1.801111117113WSep 14 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil1.73111031182L. Vich2.00912117113LSep 14 · 19:50L. Vich1.618570S. Matousch2.201111113WSep 14 · 18:20P. Cibik1.83111191192L. Vich1.83471113113WSep 7 · 21:50L. Vich2.0011411133Z. Vyskocil1.737119111WSep 7 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil1.73117811L. Vich2.0081111113WSep 7 · 19:50L. Vich1.611111113R. Zeman2.206640LSep 7 · 18:20P. Cibik1.83113711113L. Vich1.8391111952
P. Cibik10
WSep 20 · 19:50Z. Vyskocil1.67991151P. Cibik2.1011118113LSep 20 · 18:50P. Cibik3.401196101T. Jr1.3081111123LSep 18 · 17:54R. Zeman2.20119311113P. Cibik1.6191111792WSep 18 · 16:20M. Kolbusovsky2.63413941P. Cibik1.44111111113WSep 18 · 15:50M. Nemec2.385790P. Cibik1.531111113LSep 18 · 14:50P. Cibik1.44611951R. Zeman2.6311911113WSep 16 · 21:23P. Cibik1.7211111113S. Matousch2.00851171WSep 16 · 20:20S. Matousch1.8310111081P. Cibik1.8312512113LSep 14 · 18:20P. Cibik1.83111191192L. Vich1.83471113113WSep 7 · 18:20P. Cibik1.83113711113L. Vich1.8391111952
Upcoming Matches
L. Vich
Nothing scheduled
P. Cibik
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