TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Zbynek Vyskocil vs Michal Kolbusovsky 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Zbynek Vyskocil
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4114111214––––
Michal Kolbusovsky
Away
2.70
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:19 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeZbynek Vyskocil to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingZbynek Vyskocil above · Michal Kolbusovsky below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 56 set 3, 12-14 — our read held Zbynek Vyskocil at 54.5%
56 points played in total.
H2H Zbynek Vyskocil 1–1 Michal Kolbusovsky Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Vyskocil beat Kolbusovsky 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:19What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Vyskocil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vyskocil 1468 vs Kolbusovsky 1239
Vyskocil
Wrong
both rated, 229 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vyskocil 20% vs Kolbusovsky 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vyskocil 50% vs Kolbusovsky 20%
Vyskocil
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vyskocil -2 · Kolbusovsky -4
Kolbusovsky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Vyskocil) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolbusovsky form (20%) is below what odds imply (37%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVyskocil 1.40 / Kolbusovsky 2.70
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Vyskocil)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13173243
Vyskocil1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 62 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it71% 48 of 68
Kolbusovsky2.70
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 53 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back19% 17 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVyskocil1wins
AwayKolbusovsky1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricVyskocilKolbusovskyV − KBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match29.036.5−7.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVyskocilKolbusovskyBasisWin rate · lifetime295 / 601 vs 208 / 46349.1%44.9%295 / 601 vs 208 / 463Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VyskocilVyskocil 1.40/Kolbusovsky 2.70
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.7%
Vyskocil · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kolbusovsky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 21 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil2044120M. Kolbusovsky361111143
WSep 21 · 18:50Z. Vyskocil3812114113M. Kolbusovsky371091171
Z. Vyskocil10
LSep 21 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil1.4037100R. Zeman2.751111123LSep 21 · 19:20J. Mach2.0011811113Z. Vyskocil1.73911671WSep 21 · 18:50M. Kolbusovsky2.381091171Z. Vyskocil1.5312114113LSep 20 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil1.8510850L. Vich1.851211113LSep 20 · 20:50T. Jr1.73117118113Z. Vyskocil2.0091141142LSep 20 · 19:50Z. Vyskocil1.67991151P. Cibik2.1011118113WSep 20 · 18:20L. Vich2.007180Z. Vyskocil1.731111113WSep 16 · 21:55Z. Vyskocil2.2012116113T. Barsa1.601081181WSep 16 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil2.25811611113T. Barsa1.5711911982WSep 16 · 19:20S. Matousch1.6711911882Z. Vyskocil2.10611611113
M. Kolbusovsky10
LSep 21 · 20:20J. Mach1.536111411113M. Kolbusovsky2.3811816742LSep 21 · 19:50R. Zeman1.111111113M. Kolbusovsky6.004870LSep 21 · 18:50M. Kolbusovsky2.381091171Z. Vyskocil1.5312114113LSep 21 · 14:00T. Jr1.20111111113M. Kolbusovsky3.80881391WSep 21 · 12:20S. Matousch1.4411118582M. Kolbusovsky2.63891111113LSep 21 · 11:50T. Jr1.53111111113M. Kolbusovsky2.38691381WSep 21 · 10:50M. Kolbusovsky3.00119115113J. Vintr1.3671181142LSep 18 · 17:25M. Nemec1.91911911153M. Kolbusovsky1.80118112132LSep 18 · 16:20M. Kolbusovsky2.63413941P. Cibik1.44111111113LSep 18 · 15:20M. Kolbusovsky5.003690R. Zeman1.141111113
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