TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Rostislav Niezgoda vs Jan Szotkowski 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Rostislav Niezgoda
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118115116––––
Jan Szotkowski
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeJan Szotkowski to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRostislav Niezgoda above · Jan Szotkowski below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 52 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Jan Szotkowski at 63.6%
52 points played in total.
H2H Rostislav Niezgoda 1–2 Jan Szotkowski Rostislav Niezgoda has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Szotkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Niezgoda 1835 vs Szotkowski 1870
Szotkowski
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Niezgoda 40% vs Szotkowski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Niezgoda 40% vs Szotkowski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Niezgoda +1 · Szotkowski -3
Szotkowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Szotkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szotkowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNiezgoda 2.20 / Szotkowski 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Szotkowski)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13168845
Niezgoda2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Szotkowski1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 135 of 248
Up 2–0, closes it94% 72 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it75% 107 of 143
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeNiezgoda1wins
AwaySzotkowski2wins
Szotkowski leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Niezgoda2Szotkowski1n = 3Niezgoda took 2 of 3
S2Niezgoda1Szotkowski2n = 3Szotkowski took 2 of 3
S3Niezgoda2Szotkowski1n = 3Niezgoda took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricNiezgodaSzotkowskiN − SBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match36.735.7+1.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNiezgodaSzotkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime13 / 23 vs 445 / 84856.5%52.5%13 / 23 vs 445 / 848Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.940.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzotkowskiNiezgoda 2.20/Szotkowski 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Szotkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Niezgoda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 22 · 16:30R. Niezgoda331111113J. Szotkowski198560
LSep 19 · 10:30R. Niezgoda4110111191J. Szotkowski4212136113
LSep 17 · 15:00R. Niezgoda36153991J. Szotkowski46131111113
R. Niezgoda10
WSep 22 · 17:30M. Biolek1.9181140R. Niezgoda1.801113113WSep 22 · 15:00R. Niezgoda1.911111123J. Dzida1.8085100LSep 22 · 14:00M. Biolek1.91611811113R. Niezgoda1.8011711762LSep 20 · 21:09R. Niezgoda2.00691191R. Polasek1.7311117113WSep 20 · 20:00M. Biolek2.00118941R. Niezgoda1.7381111113LSep 20 · 19:00R. Polasek3.25311611123R. Niezgoda1.33117119102LSep 20 · 18:30R. Niezgoda1.736111110102T. Dousek2.00114712123WSep 19 · 13:00R. Niezgoda1.671111113T. Zika2.106730LSep 19 · 12:00M. Biolek2.001141011113R. Niezgoda1.7311112662WSep 19 · 11:00T. Zika2.2011711782R. Niezgoda1.61711811113
J. Szotkowski10
WSep 22 · 17:00J. Dzida1.613212151J. Szotkowski2.20111110173LSep 22 · 15:30J. Szotkowski1.678111171M. Biolek2.1011913113LSep 22 · 14:30J. Dzida1.731110811113J. Szotkowski2.0081211582LSep 22 · 13:30J. Szotkowski1.551457101R. Polasek2.25121111123WSep 22 · 12:00J. Szotkowski1.5711118113R. Polasek2.25891191WSep 22 · 11:30T. Zika1.91511851J. Szotkowski1.8011711113LSep 22 · 10:00J. Szotkowski1.50711101182M. Vavrecka2.50116127113LSep 21 · 17:28J. Szotkowski2.10691111132J. Dzida1.67111136153WSep 21 · 16:00J. Dzida1.6711851162J. Szotkowski2.10611116113WSep 21 · 15:00M. Biolek2.1099100J. Szotkowski1.671111123
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.