TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Daniel Kouble
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11131171191513––
Vladimir Postelt
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingDaniel Kouble above · Vladimir Postelt below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 15-13
Point 90 set 4, 15-13
90 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Kouble 11–2 Vladimir Postelt Vladimir Postelt has won 2 of their 13 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Kouble beat Postelt 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Kouble)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKouble 1.44 / Postelt 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Kouble)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13167429
Kouble1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 16 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it61% 11 of 18
Postelt2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 42 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back18% 11 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKouble8wins
AwayPostelt2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKouble leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKouble100%3 of 3
AwayPostelt28.6%2 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kouble3Postelt7n = 10Postelt took 7 of 10
S2Kouble8Postelt2n = 10Kouble took 8 of 10
S3Kouble6Postelt4n = 10Kouble took 6 of 10
S4Kouble6Postelt2n = 8Kouble took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoublePosteltK − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.835.5+5.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoublePosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime107 / 222 vs 428 / 80948.2%52.9%107 / 222 vs 428 / 809Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoubleKouble 1.44/Postelt 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68%
Kouble · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kouble won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 22:30D. Kouble47611811113V. Postelt3411411532
WSep 7 · 23:30D. Kouble341111123V. Postelt2394100
WSep 1 · 24:30D. Kouble4391112113V. Postelt351161081
WJun 23 · 01:30D. Kouble4181111113V. Postelt33118771
WMay 13 · 01:30D. Kouble51121117113V. Postelt461491581
LFeb 7 · 23:30D. Kouble32411981V. Postelt4111811113
WDec 23 · 02:30D. Kouble4391112113V. Postelt371171091
WNov 25 · 24:30D. Kouble4111127113V. Postelt325101161
WOct 28 · 03:30D. Kouble531191111113V. Postelt4181181312
LJul 17 · 01:30D. Kouble239950V. Postelt331111113
D. Kouble10
WSep 21 · 01:30D. Kouble2.251115106113R. Krejci1.57513121192WSep 21 · 24:30J. Prokupek2.251111771D. Kouble1.5731311113LSep 20 · 23:30P. Zmuda1.831411113D. Kouble1.8312940WSep 20 · 22:30D. Kouble1.50611811113V. Postelt2.5011411532LSep 20 · 03:29J. Trefny2.251111113D. Kouble1.578950LSep 20 · 01:30D. Kouble1.8011951182P. Budinsky1.91911117113WSep 20 · 24:30J. Prokupek2.205750D. Kouble1.611111113LSep 19 · 23:30R. Pavelka2.201411113D. Kouble1.6112540WSep 19 · 22:30D. Kouble1.6711611133J. Trefny2.109115111LSep 10 · 02:00A. Hlawatschke1.8311611113D. Kouble1.83811481
V. Postelt10
WSep 21 · 02:00V. Postelt1.7311127123J. Prokupek2.0081011101LSep 21 · 01:00V. Postelt2.00111171452P. Zmuda1.73871116113LSep 21 · 24:00R. Krejci1.441111113V. Postelt2.635360LSep 20 · 22:30D. Kouble1.50611811113V. Postelt2.5011411532WSep 20 · 20:58V. Postelt1.6111711113P. Budinsky2.20911631WSep 20 · 20:00V. Postelt1.8311911113J. Stolfa1.83911581LSep 20 · 19:30R. Pavelka1.911111113V. Postelt1.807570WSep 20 · 18:00V. Postelt1.8071111113P. Budinsky1.91119561WSep 14 · 03:30V. Postelt1.651111113J. Plachy2.071540LSep 14 · 02:30V. Postelt1.3687111182J. Dedek3.00111144113
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