TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Miroslav Hajek
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
91111816181161012
Tomas Hrstka
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:17 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Hajek to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMiroslav Hajek above · Tomas Hrstka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 16-18
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 112 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Miroslav Hajek at 58.9%
112 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Hajek 12–3 Tomas Hrstka Tomas Hrstka has won 3 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:17What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hajek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-3 in 15
Hajek
Wrong
gap of 9 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hajek 1646 vs Hrstka 1542
Hajek
Wrong
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hajek 80% vs Hrstka 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hajek 60% vs Hrstka 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hajek +1 · Hrstka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Hajek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrstka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHajek 1.61 / Hrstka 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Hajek)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13166203
Hajek1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 66 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it90% 35 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it77% 52 of 68
Hrstka2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 16)
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog45% won 14 of 31
Down 0–1, comes back29% 6 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHajek8wins
AwayHrstka2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHajek leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHajek66.7%4 of 6
AwayHrstka0%0 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hajek6Hrstka4n = 10Hajek took 6 of 10
S2Hajek8Hrstka2n = 10Hajek took 8 of 10
S3Hajek5Hrstka5n = 10split evenly
S4Hajek5Hrstka4n = 9Hajek took 5 of 9
S5Hajek2Hrstka1n = 3Hajek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHajekHrstkaHajek − HrstkaBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.635.6+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHajekHrstkaBasisWin rate · lifetime363 / 676 vs 32 / 7253.7%44.4%363 / 676 vs 32 / 72Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.936.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HajekHajek 1.61/Hrstka 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Hajek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hrstka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 14 · 10:30M. Hajek46111311113T. Hrstka302111341
WMay 14 · 10:15M. Hajek43111110113T. Hrstka29451281
WMay 19 · 09:30M. Hajek5510101311113T. Hrstka49121211862
WApr 25 · 06:00M. Hajek4161212113T. Hrstka4011101091
LApr 16 · 11:45M. Hajek4811119892T. Hrstka48871111113
WApr 8 · 10:45M. Hajek331111113T. Hrstka239770
WMar 24 · 13:50M. Hajek4181111113T. Hrstka23114531
LMar 24 · 11:45M. Hajek341176101T. Hrstka4171111123
WMar 14 · 08:00M. Hajek518111110113T. Hrstka3711731242
M. Hajek10
LSep 21 · 11:00M. Hajek1.57111311632M. Svitac2.251311611113WSep 20 · 17:00L. Kolman1.7311913192M. Hajek2.007111111113LSep 20 · 16:00M. Hajek1.8396110L. Kolman1.831111133WSep 20 · 14:30L. Provaznik2.3841111662M. Hajek1.53119411113WSep 20 · 14:00P. Hala2.2011980M. Hajek1.61131193WSep 18 · 16:51L. Kolman2.50611891M. Hajek1.5011511113LSep 18 · 15:45M. Hajek1.9111751272L. Kolman1.805111110113LSep 18 · 14:15D. Marasek1.731111109113M. Hajek2.0076121172WSep 18 · 13:45P. Semrad1.6711117982M. Hajek2.10971111113WSep 17 · 20:17M. Hajek1.53118711113P. Oplt2.3871111892
T. Hrstka10
LSep 21 · 10:30Z. Kuksa2.101181112113T. Hrstka1.6781191432LSep 16 · 12:49T. Hrstka2.5061151372Z. Vasatko1.501181111113WSep 16 · 11:45L. Smazik1.50119791T. Hrstka2.5091111113WSep 16 · 10:45Z. Vasatko1.336111421T. Hrstka3.2511616113WSep 16 · 09:15L. Kolman1.50111061192T. Hrstka2.50512117113WAug 14 · 12:38P. Provaznik1.734660T. Hrstka2.001111113LAug 14 · 11:30T. Hrstka1.91981151P. Provaznik1.8011117113LAug 14 · 10:30T. Hrstka2.632111341M. Hajek1.44111311113LAug 14 · 09:30T. Hrstka2.103780L. Kolman1.671111113LAug 10 · 13:13T. Hrstka2.6381161172M. Svitac1.44119116113
Upcoming Matches
M. Hajek
Nothing scheduled
T. Hrstka
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.