TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Miroslav Hajek
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11131311116611311
Matej Svitac
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:06 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Hajek to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMiroslav Hajek above · Matej Svitac below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 96 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Miroslav Hajek at 60.1%
96 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Hajek 29–17 Matej Svitac Matej Svitac has won 17 of their 46 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:06What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hajek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-17 in 46
Hajek
Wrong
gap of 12 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hajek 1633 vs Svitac 1602
Hajek
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hajek 60% vs Svitac 40%
Hajek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hajek 60% vs Svitac 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hajek -1 · Svitac +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Hajek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHajek 1.57 / Svitac 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Hajek)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13166348
Hajek1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 66 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it90% 35 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it77% 52 of 68
Svitac2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 25 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back28% 8 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHajek6wins
AwaySvitac4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHajek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHajek83.3%5 of 6
AwaySvitac75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hajek6Svitac4n = 10Hajek took 6 of 10
S2Hajek5Svitac5n = 10split evenly
S3Hajek7Svitac3n = 10Hajek took 7 of 10
S4Hajek4Svitac4n = 8split evenly
S5Hajek2Svitac2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHajekSvitacH − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.737.4+3.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHajekSvitacBasisWin rate · lifetime360 / 671 vs 215 / 39553.7%54.4%360 / 671 vs 215 / 395Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HajekHajek 1.57/Svitac 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Hajek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Svitac won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 10:45M. Hajek4511149113M. Svitac325121141
LSep 10 · 10:15M. Hajek4211911832M. Svitac50811911113
WSep 6 · 19:45M. Hajek521191011113M. Svitac4081112452
WSep 4 · 09:45M. Hajek49111179113M. Svitac4165111182
WMay 17 · 09:45M. Hajek4591114113M. Svitac411191291
LMay 14 · 12:43M. Hajek334711111M. Svitac3911114133
LMay 14 · 09:45M. Hajek29781131M. Svitac3911116113
WMay 1 · 12:44M. Hajek331111113M. Svitac235990
LMay 1 · 09:45M. Hajek4699111162M. Svitac47111168113
WApr 27 · 10:15M. Hajek331111113M. Svitac227960
M. Hajek10
WSep 21 · 11:30Z. Kuksa2.2053111162M. Hajek1.61111197113LSep 21 · 10:00M. Hajek1.619111611102T. Hrstka2.20118186123WSep 20 · 17:00L. Kolman1.7311913192M. Hajek2.007111111113LSep 20 · 16:00M. Hajek1.8396110L. Kolman1.831111133WSep 20 · 14:30L. Provaznik2.3841111662M. Hajek1.53119411113WSep 20 · 14:00P. Hala2.2011980M. Hajek1.61131193WSep 18 · 16:51L. Kolman2.50611891M. Hajek1.5011511113LSep 18 · 15:45M. Hajek1.9111751272L. Kolman1.805111110113LSep 18 · 14:15D. Marasek1.731111109113M. Hajek2.0076121172WSep 18 · 13:45P. Semrad1.6711117982M. Hajek2.10971111113
M. Svitac10
LSep 21 · 12:00T. Hrstka2.6311911113M. Svitac1.44911551WSep 21 · 09:30Z. Kuksa2.637760M. Svitac1.441111113LSep 19 · 21:04M. Svitac1.67911110L. Kolman2.101113133WSep 19 · 20:00L. Kolman2.20710111242M. Svitac1.611112410113LSep 19 · 19:00T. Hucko2.00111011113M. Svitac1.73512951LSep 19 · 17:30A. Pavlik2.3871111113M. Svitac1.53116891LSep 18 · 12:50M. Svitac1.911112211132P. Oplt1.80914117153WSep 18 · 11:45P. Oplt1.61811991M. Svitac2.2011611113WSep 18 · 10:45J. Simek2.10761171M. Svitac1.6711115113WSep 18 · 09:15T. Hucko1.91981171M. Svitac1.8011118113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.