TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Zdenek Kuksa
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711611––––
Matej Svitac
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:17 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeMatej Svitac to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Kuksa above · Matej Svitac below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 53 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Matej Svitac at 64.5%
53 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Kuksa 1–1 Matej Svitac Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:17What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Svitac
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kuksa 1542 vs Svitac 1590
Svitac
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuksa 20% vs Svitac 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuksa 50% vs Svitac 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuksa -1 · Svitac -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Svitac)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svitac form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuksa 2.63 / Svitac 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Svitac)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13166198
Kuksa2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 19)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 48 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back20% 8 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Svitac1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 19)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 63 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it76% 47 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKuksa1wins
AwaySvitac1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKuksaSvitacK − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match36.039.5−3.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuksaSvitacBasisWin rate · lifetime258 / 502 vs 217 / 39951.4%54.4%258 / 502 vs 217 / 399Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.138.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvitacKuksa 2.63/Svitac 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Svitac · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Svitac won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 10 · 11:00Z. Kuksa4311711143M. Svitac389116121
LJul 27 · 11:45Z. Kuksa29811461M. Svitac4111811113
Z. Kuksa10
LSep 19 · 08:43M. Taranko2.001111113Z. Kuksa1.739850WSep 19 · 07:45Z. Kuksa2.001113113M. Taranko1.7391190LSep 19 · 06:15J. Botka3.2541111113Z. Kuksa1.33115481LSep 19 · 05:45M. Soukup2.10121211113Z. Kuksa1.671410681LSep 18 · 17:00J. Juppa2.0011116113Z. Kuksa1.73981171WSep 18 · 15:30Z. Kuksa1.8041111113T. Hanke1.91119891WSep 18 · 14:30Z. Kuksa1.731111113J. Juppa2.009790LSep 18 · 13:30Z. Kuksa2.1011651142T. Bertho1.67511116113WSep 17 · 21:03Z. Kuksa1.83111410113M. Cizek1.832121271WSep 17 · 20:00Z. Kuksa1.91115117113T. Bertho1.8091171172
M. Svitac10
LSep 19 · 21:04M. Svitac1.67911110L. Kolman2.101113133WSep 19 · 20:00L. Kolman2.20710111242M. Svitac1.611112410113LSep 19 · 19:00T. Hucko2.00111011113M. Svitac1.73512951LSep 19 · 17:30A. Pavlik2.3871111113M. Svitac1.53116891LSep 18 · 12:50M. Svitac1.911112211132P. Oplt1.80914117153WSep 18 · 11:45P. Oplt1.61811991M. Svitac2.2011611113WSep 18 · 10:45J. Simek2.10761171M. Svitac1.6711115113WSep 18 · 09:15T. Hucko1.91981171M. Svitac1.8011118113LSep 14 · 12:53M. Svitac1.83911491L. Smazik1.8311811113WSep 14 · 11:45L. Smazik1.8311351152M. Svitac1.83511119113
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