Matej Svitac vs Leon Kolman 0-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13161642

Played Sep 19Finished

Matej Svitac

Home

1.67

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

91111131113––––

Leon Kolman

Away

2.10

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 1

How it is goingMatej Svitac above · Leon Kolman below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 11-13

Set 3 · 11-13

Point 68 set 3, 11-13

68 points played in total.

H2H Matej Svitac 19–13 Leon Kolman Leon Kolman has won 13 of their 32 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

Same-day rematch · 1h before this match

Svitac beat Kolman 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Svitac)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Svitac form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSvitac 1.67 / Kolman 2.10

Signal prob.56% / 44%

Edge (Svitac)+0.4pp

Setka Cup · #13161642

Svitac1.67

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite56% won 63 of 113

Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34

Up 1–0, closes it77% 47 of 61

Kolman2.10

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog43% won 63 of 146

Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 71

Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSvitac6wins

AwayKolman4wins

3 of 10 to a deciderSvitac leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSvitac100%5 of 5

AwayKolman80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Svitac5Kolman5n = 10split evenly

S2Svitac6Kolman4n = 10Svitac took 6 of 10

S3Svitac6Kolman4n = 10Svitac took 6 of 10

S4Svitac6Kolman3n = 9Svitac took 6 of 9

S5Svitac1Kolman2n = 3Kolman took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home440%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricSvitacKolmanS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.938.6+2.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSvitacKolmanBasisWin rate · lifetime217 / 398 vs 361 / 69054.5%52.3%217 / 398 vs 361 / 690Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.840.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Svitac

Svitac 1.67/Kolman 2.10

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

56.2%

Svitac · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Kolman won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 19 · 20:00M. Svitac481112410113L. Kolman44710111242

LSep 10 · 12:48M. Svitac30761161L. Kolman4011117113

WSep 10 · 09:15M. Svitac331111113L. Kolman189540

WSep 8 · 10:45M. Svitac4181111113L. Kolman36119791

LSep 7 · 09:30M. Svitac53913111192L. Kolman51111595113

LSep 6 · 17:45M. Svitac3864111252L. Kolman491111610113

LSep 1 · 13:15M. Svitac367111351L. Kolman4511815113

WAug 15 · 11:45M. Svitac48141211113L. Kolman4312101381

WAug 13 · 11:45M. Svitac4111118113L. Kolman28781121

WAug 12 · 11:45M. Svitac4111811113L. Kolman32711591

M. Svitac10

WSep 19 · 20:00L. Kolman2.20710111242M. Svitac1.611112410113 LSep 19 · 19:00T. Hucko2.00111011113M. Svitac1.73512951 LSep 19 · 17:30A. Pavlik2.3871111113M. Svitac1.53116891 LSep 18 · 12:50M. Svitac1.911112211132P. Oplt1.80914117153 WSep 18 · 11:45P. Oplt1.61811991M. Svitac2.2011611113 WSep 18 · 10:45J. Simek2.10761171M. Svitac1.6711115113 WSep 18 · 09:15T. Hucko1.91981171M. Svitac1.8011118113 LSep 14 · 12:53M. Svitac1.83911491L. Smazik1.8311811113 WSep 14 · 11:45L. Smazik1.8311351152M. Svitac1.83511119113 LSep 14 · 10:45M. Hajek1.6111149113M. Svitac2.205121141

L. Kolman10

LSep 19 · 20:00L. Kolman2.20710111242M. Svitac1.611112410113 WSep 19 · 18:30A. Pavlik2.1091112472L. Kolman1.671191011113 LSep 19 · 18:00T. Hucko1.731012911163L. Kolman2.001210118142 LSep 18 · 16:51L. Kolman2.50611891M. Hajek1.5011511113 WSep 18 · 15:45M. Hajek1.9111751272L. Kolman1.805111110113 LSep 18 · 14:45P. Semrad1.611111113L. Kolman2.204860 LSep 18 · 13:15D. Marasek1.4013118113L. Kolman2.751181161 LSep 16 · 21:08L. Kolman1.8351181382L. Provaznik1.831161111113 LSep 16 · 20:00P. Hala1.8021611143L. Kolman1.9119118121 WSep 16 · 19:00V. Honemann2.10561131L. Kolman1.6711114113

Upcoming Matches

M. Svitac

Nothing scheduled

L. Kolman

Sep 20 · 05:30L. Kolman1.91P. Orlowski1.80—Sep 20 · 06:30L. Kolman1.50T. Kanka2.50—Sep 20 · 07:30L. Kolman1.73D. Brichacek2.00—Sep 20 · 15:00L. Kolman1.91P. Hala1.80—Sep 20 · 16:00L. Kolman1.83M. Hajek1.83—

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