TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13154887
Played Sep 18Finished
Leon Kolman
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611115811911––
Miroslav Hajek
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingLeon Kolman above · Miroslav Hajek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 72 set 4, 9-11
72 points played in total.
H2H Leon Kolman 12–10 Miroslav Hajek Miroslav Hajek has won 10 of their 22 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Kolman beat Hajek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Hajek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hajek form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolman 2.50 / Hajek 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Hajek)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13154887
Kolman2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 63 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back22% 15 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 31
Hajek1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 62 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it90% 34 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it75% 48 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolman6wins
AwayHajek4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKolman leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolman100%5 of 5
AwayHajek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolman5Hajek5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolman6Hajek4n = 10Kolman took 6 of 10
S3Kolman7Hajek2n = 9Kolman took 7 of 9
S4Kolman3Hajek5n = 8Hajek took 5 of 8
S5Kolman2Hajek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolmanHajekK − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.441.8−0.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolmanHajekBasisWin rate · lifetime360 / 687 vs 363 / 67552.4%53.8%360 / 687 vs 363 / 675Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.639.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HajekKolman 2.50/Hajek 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Hajek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hajek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 18 · 15:45L. Kolman485111110113M. Hajek4211751272
WSep 10 · 11:45L. Kolman4416611113M. Hajek411411881
WSep 6 · 20:53L. Kolman4211119113M. Hajek34881171
LAug 30 · 20:00L. Kolman501212111142M. Hajek551410713113
WAug 26 · 20:44L. Kolman521181110123M. Hajek48711812102
LAug 26 · 19:45L. Kolman31911651M. Hajek3911611113
LAug 18 · 08:14L. Kolman4187121132M. Hajek521111109113
WAug 18 · 05:15L. Kolman331111113M. Hajek215970
LAug 16 · 10:45L. Kolman321101291M. Hajek44111210113
L. Kolman10
WSep 18 · 15:45M. Hajek1.9111751272L. Kolman1.805111110113LSep 18 · 14:45P. Semrad1.611111113L. Kolman2.204860LSep 18 · 13:15D. Marasek1.4013118113L. Kolman2.751181161LSep 16 · 21:08L. Kolman1.8351181382L. Provaznik1.831161111113LSep 16 · 20:00P. Hala1.8021611143L. Kolman1.9119118121WSep 16 · 19:00V. Honemann2.10561131L. Kolman1.6711114113WSep 16 · 17:30L. Provaznik1.619811101L. Kolman2.2011114123WSep 16 · 12:19L. Smazik1.8398110L. Kolman1.831111133LSep 16 · 11:15L. Kolman1.67126671Z. Vasatko2.10101111113LSep 16 · 10:15L. Kolman1.731011681L. Smazik2.0012711113
M. Hajek10
LSep 18 · 15:45M. Hajek1.9111751272L. Kolman1.805111110113LSep 18 · 14:15D. Marasek1.731111109113M. Hajek2.0076121172WSep 18 · 13:45P. Semrad1.6711117982M. Hajek2.10971111113WSep 17 · 20:17M. Hajek1.53118711113P. Oplt2.3871111892LSep 17 · 19:45M. Hajek1.735970P. Orlowski2.001111113LSep 17 · 18:15D. Brichacek1.7311116113M. Hajek2.00781191WSep 17 · 17:45P. Oplt1.5310770M. Hajek2.381211113LSep 15 · 16:49D. Marasek1.831211113M. Hajek1.8310790WSep 15 · 15:45M. Hajek1.831117113D. Marasek1.8391570LSep 15 · 14:15Z. Vasatko2.0091111133M. Hajek1.731189111
Upcoming Matches
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