TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Zdenek Kuksa
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1188111191214113
Tomas Hrstka
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:53 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeTomas Hrstka to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingZdenek Kuksa above · Tomas Hrstka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 98 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Tomas Hrstka at 55.8%
98 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Kuksa 1–1 Tomas Hrstka Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:53What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hrstka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kuksa 1541 vs Hrstka 1544
Hrstka
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuksa 20% vs Hrstka 80%
Hrstka
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuksa 40% vs Hrstka 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuksa -2 · Hrstka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Hrstka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrstka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuksa 2.10 / Hrstka 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Hrstka)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13166320
Kuksa2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 48 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back20% 8 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Hrstka1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite91% won 10 of 11
Up 2–0, closes it80% 4 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKuksa1wins
AwayHrstka1wins
2 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKuksaHrstkaK − HBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match48.546.0+2.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuksaHrstkaBasisWin rate · lifetime259 / 504 vs 33 / 7451.4%44.6%259 / 504 vs 33 / 74Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match40.137.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrstkaKuksa 2.10/Hrstka 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Hrstka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kuksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 21 · 10:30Z. Kuksa531181112113T. Hrstka4581191432
LAug 10 · 12:00Z. Kuksa4411812762T. Hrstka474111011113
Z. Kuksa10
LSep 21 · 09:30Z. Kuksa2.637760M. Svitac1.441111113LSep 19 · 08:43M. Taranko2.001111113Z. Kuksa1.739850WSep 19 · 07:45Z. Kuksa2.001113113M. Taranko1.7391190LSep 19 · 06:15J. Botka3.2541111113Z. Kuksa1.33115481LSep 19 · 05:45M. Soukup2.10121211113Z. Kuksa1.671410681LSep 18 · 17:00J. Juppa2.0011116113Z. Kuksa1.73981171WSep 18 · 15:30Z. Kuksa1.8041111113T. Hanke1.91119891WSep 18 · 14:30Z. Kuksa1.731111113J. Juppa2.009790LSep 18 · 13:30Z. Kuksa2.1011651142T. Bertho1.67511116113WSep 17 · 21:03Z. Kuksa1.83111410113M. Cizek1.832121271
T. Hrstka10
WSep 21 · 10:00M. Hajek1.619111611102T. Hrstka2.20118186123LSep 16 · 12:49T. Hrstka2.5061151372Z. Vasatko1.501181111113WSep 16 · 11:45L. Smazik1.50119791T. Hrstka2.5091111113WSep 16 · 10:45Z. Vasatko1.336111421T. Hrstka3.2511616113WSep 16 · 09:15L. Kolman1.50111061192T. Hrstka2.50512117113WAug 14 · 12:38P. Provaznik1.734660T. Hrstka2.001111113LAug 14 · 11:30T. Hrstka1.91981151P. Provaznik1.8011117113LAug 14 · 10:30T. Hrstka2.632111341M. Hajek1.44111311113LAug 14 · 09:30T. Hrstka2.103780L. Kolman1.671111113LAug 10 · 13:13T. Hrstka2.6381161172M. Svitac1.44119116113
Upcoming Matches
Z. Kuksa
Nothing scheduled
T. Hrstka
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