TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Yurii Zvolynskyi
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
3111311611114119
Oleg Shvydkyi
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 81.8% is still 81.8%
Graded at full timeYurii Zvolynskyi to win
81.8%
81.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Zvolynskyi above · Oleg Shvydkyi below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 90 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Yurii Zvolynskyi at 81.8%
90 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Zvolynskyi 18–5 Oleg Shvydkyi Oleg Shvydkyi has won 5 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:09What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Zvolynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-5 in 23
Zvolynskyi
Correct
gap of 13 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zvolynskyi 1355 vs Shvydkyi 1034
Zvolynskyi
Correct
both rated, 321 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zvolynskyi 60% vs Shvydkyi 20%
Zvolynskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zvolynskyi 70% vs Shvydkyi 30%
Zvolynskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zvolynskyi +1 · Shvydkyi -4
Shvydkyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Zvolynskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 82% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zvolynskyi form (60%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZvolynskyi 1.17 / Shvydkyi 4.50
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Zvolynskyi)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13166171
Zvolynskyi1.17
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite75% won 92 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it97% 58 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it91% 76 of 84
Shvydkyi4.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 18 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back13% 4 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZvolynskyi9wins
AwayShvydkyi1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZvolynskyi leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZvolynskyi100%5 of 5
AwayShvydkyi20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zvolynskyi5Shvydkyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Zvolynskyi9Shvydkyi1n = 10Zvolynskyi took 9 of 10
S3Zvolynskyi7Shvydkyi2n = 9Zvolynskyi took 7 of 9
S4Zvolynskyi4Shvydkyi0n = 4Zvolynskyi took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZvolynskyiShvydkyiZ − SBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.930.2+7.7per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZvolynskyiShvydkyiBasisWin rate · lifetime303 / 573 vs 57 / 16252.9%35.2%303 / 573 vs 57 / 162Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.533.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZvolynskyiZvolynskyi 1.17/Shvydkyi 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.9%
Zvolynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zvolynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 21 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi44313611113O. Shvydkyi46111111492
WMay 12 · 10:03Y. Zvolynskyi3961111113O. Shvydkyi30118741
WMay 12 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi331111113O. Shvydkyi184680
WJan 1 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi331111113O. Shvydkyi228950
WSep 15 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi4211116143O. Shvydkyi356611121
WAug 27 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi361111143O. Shvydkyi3099120
WAug 4 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi341211113O. Shvydkyi2410590
WAug 3 · 16:30Y. Zvolynskyi4281112113O. Shvydkyi371191071
Y. Zvolynskyi10
LSep 21 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.6191181182I. Sorochan2.20113114113WSep 21 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.617111411113E. Bakin2.2011816882LSep 21 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.2277100A. Lysyi4.001111123LSep 16 · 10:29V. Simchuk1.441111113Y. Zvolynskyi2.637690WSep 16 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.201111113O. Badanin4.334550WSep 16 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.9111811113M. Zavoloka1.80411661WSep 16 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi3.2511611113V. Simchuk1.33911581WSep 16 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.4011712113S. Honcharenko2.759111091LSep 15 · 10:29P. Shulhachyk1.441111113113Y. Zvolynskyi2.6388131152WSep 15 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.001111153M. Zavoloka1.7388130
O. Shvydkyi10
LSep 21 · 07:30O. Shvydkyi3.503670A. Lysyi1.281111113LSep 21 · 06:30I. Sorochan1.221111113O. Shvydkyi4.004680LSep 21 · 05:30O. Shvydkyi3.0012671162E. Bakin1.361011116113LSep 14 · 10:08O. Shvydkyi3.254880A. Lysyi1.331111113WSep 14 · 09:00E. Bakin1.30671171O. Shvydkyi3.4011114113LSep 14 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.361111113O. Shvydkyi3.005760WSep 14 · 06:00S. Zherykhin1.672087111O. Shvydkyi2.10181111133WSep 14 · 05:00O. Badanin1.5051191182O. Shvydkyi2.50115115113LSep 10 · 10:03Y. Urezchenko1.251311113O. Shvydkyi3.7511450LSep 10 · 08:30S. Zherykhin2.2512811113O. Shvydkyi1.571011791
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