TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Yurii Zvolynskyi
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911113811114811
Ihor Sorochan
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeYurii Zvolynskyi to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Zvolynskyi above · Ihor Sorochan below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 87 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Yurii Zvolynskyi at 58.9%
87 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Zvolynskyi 30–20 Ihor Sorochan Ihor Sorochan has won 20 of their 50 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:09What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zvolynskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-20 in 50
Zvolynskyi
Wrong
gap of 10 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zvolynskyi 1355 vs Sorochan 1318
Zvolynskyi
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zvolynskyi 60% vs Sorochan 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zvolynskyi 70% vs Sorochan 50%
Zvolynskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zvolynskyi +2 · Sorochan +3
Sorochan
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Zvolynskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sorochan form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZvolynskyi 1.61 / Sorochan 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Zvolynskyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13166159
Zvolynskyi1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite75% won 92 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it97% 58 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it91% 76 of 84
Sorochan2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 27 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back21% 8 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZvolynskyi6wins
AwaySorochan4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZvolynskyi leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZvolynskyi62.5%5 of 8
AwaySorochann = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zvolynskyi8Sorochan2n = 10Zvolynskyi took 8 of 10
S2Zvolynskyi6Sorochan4n = 10Zvolynskyi took 6 of 10
S3Zvolynskyi4Sorochan6n = 10Sorochan took 6 of 10
S4Zvolynskyi5Sorochan3n = 8Zvolynskyi took 5 of 8
S5Zvolynskyi1Sorochan2n = 3Sorochan took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZvolynskyiSorochanZ − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.434.1+6.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZvolynskyiSorochanBasisWin rate · lifetime303 / 573 vs 236 / 42552.9%55.5%303 / 573 vs 236 / 425Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZvolynskyiZvolynskyi 1.61/Sorochan 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Zvolynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sorochan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi331111113I. Sorochan217950
LAug 30 · 13:00Y. Zvolynskyi32118491I. Sorochan3521111113
WAug 24 · 15:30Y. Zvolynskyi5710111411113I. Sorochan4312716442
LAug 11 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi391110991I. Sorochan4171211113
WAug 10 · 12:30Y. Zvolynskyi3711411113I. Sorochan27511651
WJul 12 · 05:30Y. Zvolynskyi4211119113I. Sorochan26251181
WJul 5 · 14:30Y. Zvolynskyi4011117113I. Sorochan27351181
LJun 12 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi3936111182I. Sorochan42111163113
WJun 11 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi341211113I. Sorochan2610970
LJun 5 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi5111159882I. Sorochan537131111113
Y. Zvolynskyi10
WSep 21 · 10:03E. Bakin2.2521381122Y. Zvolynskyi1.571111115113WSep 21 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.17313611113O. Shvydkyi4.50111111492WSep 21 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.617111411113E. Bakin2.2011816882LSep 21 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.2277100A. Lysyi4.001111123LSep 16 · 10:29V. Simchuk1.441111113Y. Zvolynskyi2.637690WSep 16 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.201111113O. Badanin4.334550WSep 16 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.9111811113M. Zavoloka1.80411661WSep 16 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi3.2511611113V. Simchuk1.33911581WSep 16 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.4011712113S. Honcharenko2.759111091LSep 15 · 10:29P. Shulhachyk1.441111113113Y. Zvolynskyi2.6388131152
I. Sorochan10
WSep 21 · 08:00I. Sorochan1.731111113E. Bakin2.007720WSep 21 · 06:30I. Sorochan1.221111113O. Shvydkyi4.004680WSep 21 · 05:00I. Sorochan1.25691111113A. Lysyi3.7511116862LSep 18 · 10:04S. Honcharenko1.441111133I. Sorochan2.6378110LSep 18 · 09:30I. Sorochan3.2511128101M. Pohorilyi1.3361411123LSep 18 · 08:30I. Sorochan1.739970N. Priadko2.001111113LSep 18 · 07:00I. Sorochan2.2011970S. Honcharenko1.611311113WSep 18 · 06:00I. Sorochan2.101111113P. Shulhachyk1.674640WSep 9 · 10:10V. Kurliuk3.50811612112I. Sorochan1.251131110133LSep 9 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.731111113I. Sorochan2.007950
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.