TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Zdenek Luksa
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171210119––––
Josef Toth
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:13 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeZdenek Luksa to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Luksa above · Josef Toth below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 60 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Zdenek Luksa at 61.2%
60 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Luksa 9–5 Josef Toth Josef Toth has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:13What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Luksa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-5 in 14
Luksa
Correct
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Luksa 1184 vs Toth 1222
Toth
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Luksa 60% vs Toth 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Luksa 30% vs Toth 70%
Toth
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Luksa -2 · Toth +3
Toth
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Luksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Toth form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLuksa 1.53 / Toth 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Luksa)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13165817
Luksa1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite52% won 13 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Toth2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog51% won 26 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back25% 6 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLuksa7wins
AwayToth3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLuksa leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLuksa80%4 of 5
AwayToth40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Luksa5Toth5n = 10split evenly
S2Luksa6Toth4n = 10Luksa took 6 of 10
S3Luksa7Toth3n = 10Luksa took 7 of 10
S4Luksa6Toth2n = 8Luksa took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLuksaTothL − TBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.033.9+5.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLuksaTothBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 113 vs 80 / 17246%46.5%52 / 113 vs 80 / 172Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LuksaLuksa 1.53/Toth 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Luksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Luksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 10:00Z. Luksa31411971J. Toth3811511113
WAug 23 · 09:30Z. Luksa4011711113J. Toth24711331
LAug 23 · 06:30Z. Luksa4691171182J. Toth46115118113
LAug 10 · 08:58Z. Luksa31117941J. Toth4291111113
WAug 10 · 08:30Z. Luksa45751111113J. Toth4311118672
WMay 17 · 10:00Z. Luksa341112113J. Toth2691070
WMay 7 · 10:00Z. Luksa4291111113J. Toth27114661
WMay 2 · 08:59Z. Luksa4491113113J. Toth331191121
WMay 2 · 08:30Z. Luksa331111113J. Toth257990
WApr 25 · 20:30Z. Luksa4413911113J. Toth351111671
Z. Luksa10
WSep 21 · 09:00A. Kanak1.915740Z. Luksa1.801111113LSep 21 · 07:00Z. Luksa1.6181111972A. Kanak2.20119711113LSep 21 · 06:00M. Derco1.401111113Z. Luksa2.755950WSep 12 · 17:30R. Adamczyk1.50139118102Z. Luksa2.501111711123WSep 12 · 16:30I. Kolenciak1.739760Z. Luksa2.001111113WSep 12 · 15:30Z. Luksa2.3871112113M. Blaha1.531191071LSep 12 · 14:30R. Adamczyk1.671111113Z. Luksa2.108980LSep 9 · 13:01I. Palmi1.6711912113Z. Luksa2.109111041LSep 9 · 12:00Z. Luksa1.83111191192I. Kolenciak1.83361113113LSep 9 · 11:30I. Palmi2.001311113Z. Luksa1.7311960
J. Toth10
WSep 21 · 07:30J. Toth2.7512612113M. Derco1.4010111091WSep 21 · 06:30A. Kanak1.7399111182J. Toth2.00111195113WSep 18 · 13:00J. Toth1.67118118113I. Kolenciak2.1061171182LSep 18 · 12:00A. Kanak1.831911109113J. Toth1.83177121162LSep 18 · 11:00I. Palmi1.8351111123J. Toth1.831185101WSep 18 · 10:30J. Toth2.001111113I. Kolenciak1.739930WSep 9 · 13:30I. Kolenciak1.6166111362J. Toth2.201111511113WSep 9 · 12:30J. Toth2.101110911123I. Palmi1.67612118102LSep 9 · 11:00J. Toth1.9181191142I. Kolenciak1.80115117113WSep 9 · 10:00Z. Luksa1.36411971J. Toth3.0011511113
Upcoming Matches
Z. Luksa
J. Toth
Nothing scheduled
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