TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13121223
Played Sep 12Finished
Radek Adamczyk
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
13119111178111012
Zdenek Luksa
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingRadek Adamczyk above · Zdenek Luksa below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 103 set 5, 10-12
103 points played in total.
H2H Radek Adamczyk 4–3 Zdenek Luksa Zdenek Luksa has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Adamczyk beat Luksa 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Adamczyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamczyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamczyk 1.50 / Luksa 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Adamczyk)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13121223
Adamczyk1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite50% won 20 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it71% 15 of 21
Luksa2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 19 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back26% 6 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeAdamczyk4wins
AwayLuksa3wins
3 of 7 to a deciderAdamczyk leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamczyk66.7%4 of 6
AwayLuksan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamczyk6Luksa1n = 7Adamczyk took 6 of 7
S2Adamczyk3Luksa4n = 7Luksa took 4 of 7
S3Adamczyk3Luksa4n = 7Luksa took 4 of 7
S4Adamczyk3Luksa1n = 4Adamczyk took 3 of 4
S5Adamczyk1Luksa2n = 3Luksa took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricAdamczykLuksaA − LBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set61+5of 7Avg pointsper match42.339.0+3.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamczykLuksaBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 83 vs 51 / 11050.6%46.4%42 / 83 vs 51 / 110Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamczykAdamczyk 1.50/Luksa 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.9%
Adamczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Luksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 12 · 14:30R. Adamczyk331111113Z. Luksa258980
WAug 10 · 07:00R. Adamczyk43111110113Z. Luksa27541261
WAug 9 · 08:30R. Adamczyk531111137113Z. Luksa48513111182
LJul 18 · 19:00R. Adamczyk4311751192Z. Luksa48911116113
WMay 2 · 06:00R. Adamczyk331111113Z. Luksa247980
LMay 1 · 16:30R. Adamczyk351013120Z. Luksa411215143
LApr 25 · 18:00R. Adamczyk56131861182Z. Luksa601120117113
R. Adamczyk10
WSep 12 · 16:00M. Blaha1.8091080R. Adamczyk1.911112113WSep 12 · 15:00I. Kolenciak3.40691161R. Adamczyk1.3011116113WSep 12 · 14:30R. Adamczyk1.671111113Z. Luksa2.108980LAug 22 · 21:04R. Adamczyk1.919101141M. Blaha1.8011128113WAug 22 · 20:30R. Adamczyk2.00116711113M. Blaha1.7371111792LAug 22 · 19:00R. Adamczyk2.75131181152V. Kocian1.40159119113LAug 22 · 18:00D. Tyn1.501111113R. Adamczyk2.504350WAug 10 · 09:30R. Adamczyk1.7311911113D. Vavrecka2.00211641WAug 10 · 08:00D. Vavrecka1.61661141R. Adamczyk2.2011119113WAug 10 · 07:00Z. Luksa1.80541261R. Adamczyk1.91111110113
Z. Luksa10
WSep 12 · 16:30I. Kolenciak1.739760Z. Luksa2.001111113WSep 12 · 15:30Z. Luksa2.3871112113M. Blaha1.531191071LSep 12 · 14:30R. Adamczyk1.671111113Z. Luksa2.108980LSep 9 · 13:01I. Palmi1.6711912113Z. Luksa2.109111041LSep 9 · 12:00Z. Luksa1.83111191192I. Kolenciak1.83361113113LSep 9 · 11:30I. Palmi2.001311113Z. Luksa1.7311960LSep 9 · 10:00Z. Luksa1.36411971J. Toth3.0011511113LAug 27 · 13:30Z. Luksa1.536880D. Vavrecka2.201111113LAug 27 · 12:00M. Blaha1.83911119113Z. Luksa1.8311971192LAug 10 · 07:00Z. Luksa1.80541261R. Adamczyk1.91111110113
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