TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13146899
Played Sep 18Finished
Josef Toth
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119113––––
Ivan Kolenciak
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:27 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeIvan Kolenciak to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJosef Toth above · Ivan Kolenciak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 54 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Ivan Kolenciak at 54.1%
54 points played in total.
H2H Josef Toth 6–7 Ivan Kolenciak Josef Toth has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:27What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kolenciak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Toth 1223 vs Kolenciak 1169
Toth
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Toth 60% vs Kolenciak 20%
Toth
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Toth 60% vs Kolenciak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Toth +2 · Kolenciak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolenciak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolenciak form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsToth 2.00 / Kolenciak 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kolenciak)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13146899
Toth2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 27 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back27% 7 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Kolenciak1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite52% won 25 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it71% 20 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeToth6wins
AwayKolenciak4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderToth leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeToth80%4 of 5
AwayKolenciak60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Toth5Kolenciak5n = 10split evenly
S2Toth7Kolenciak3n = 10Toth took 7 of 10
S3Toth4Kolenciak6n = 10Kolenciak took 6 of 10
S4Toth4Kolenciak5n = 9Kolenciak took 5 of 9
S5Toth3Kolenciak1n = 4Toth took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTothKolenciakT − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.938.6+3.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTothKolenciakBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 172 vs 86 / 18846.5%45.7%80 / 172 vs 86 / 188Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolenciakToth 2.00/Kolenciak 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Kolenciak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Toth won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 13:30J. Toth491111511113I. Kolenciak4266111362
LSep 9 · 11:00J. Toth4381191142I. Kolenciak45115117113
WAug 7 · 11:30J. Toth541112119113I. Kolenciak4551481172
WJul 30 · 06:30J. Toth4011117113I. Kolenciak25421181
LJul 9 · 09:30J. Toth34811781I. Kolenciak4211911113
WJul 9 · 07:00J. Toth331111113I. Kolenciak177640
WJun 30 · 08:30J. Toth49911612113I. Kolenciak47116111092
LMay 30 · 14:00J. Toth39991291I. Kolenciak43111110113
LMay 7 · 12:58J. Toth331165111I. Kolenciak4381111133
WMay 7 · 11:00J. Toth45101113113I. Kolenciak371251191
J. Toth10
LSep 18 · 11:00I. Palmi1.8351111123J. Toth1.831185101WSep 9 · 13:30I. Kolenciak1.6166111362J. Toth2.201111511113WSep 9 · 12:30J. Toth2.101110911123I. Palmi1.67612118102LSep 9 · 11:00J. Toth1.9181191142I. Kolenciak1.80115117113WSep 9 · 10:00Z. Luksa1.36411971J. Toth3.0011511113LAug 23 · 09:30J. Toth2.63711331Z. Luksa1.4411711113WAug 23 · 08:30A. Kanak1.615980J. Toth2.201111113WAug 23 · 07:30J. Toth2.201111310113D. Vavrecka1.6189111242WAug 23 · 06:30Z. Luksa1.4091171182J. Toth2.75115118113LAug 15 · 12:59J. Toth1.3710970J. Foltynek2.871211113
I. Kolenciak10
WSep 18 · 11:30I. Kolenciak1.8011118113A. Kanak1.91881191WSep 12 · 17:01M. Blaha1.2861161252I. Kolenciak3.301161110113LSep 12 · 16:30I. Kolenciak1.739760Z. Luksa2.001111113LSep 12 · 15:00I. Kolenciak3.40691161R. Adamczyk1.3011116113LSep 12 · 14:00M. Blaha1.361511113I. Kolenciak3.0013730LSep 9 · 13:30I. Kolenciak1.6166111362J. Toth2.201111511113WSep 9 · 12:00Z. Luksa1.83111191192I. Kolenciak1.83361113113WSep 9 · 11:00J. Toth1.9181191142I. Kolenciak1.80115117113WSep 9 · 10:30I. Kolenciak1.53411812113I. Palmi2.38119111072WSep 6 · 13:00I. Kolenciak1.8311711113D. Vavrecka1.83411851
Upcoming Matches
J. Toth
Nothing scheduled
I. Kolenciak
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.