TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13146859
Played Sep 18Finished
Ivo Palmi
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
5111181151210––
Josef Toth
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJosef Toth to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvo Palmi above · Josef Toth below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 73 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Josef Toth at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Ivo Palmi 15–15 Josef Toth Dead even across their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:18What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Toth
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-15 in 30
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Palmi 1158 vs Toth 1235
Toth
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Palmi 40% vs Toth 80%
Toth
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Palmi 50% vs Toth 70%
Toth
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Palmi -1 · Toth +3
Toth
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Toth)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Toth form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPalmi 1.83 / Toth 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Toth)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13146859
Palmi1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Toth1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePalmi5wins
AwayToth5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePalmi100%4 of 4
AwayToth83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Palmi4Toth6n = 10Toth took 6 of 10
S2Palmi5Toth5n = 10split evenly
S3Palmi7Toth3n = 10Palmi took 7 of 10
S4Palmi4Toth5n = 9Toth took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPalmiTothP − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.638.8−0.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPalmiTothBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 128 vs 77 / 16742.2%46.1%54 / 128 vs 77 / 167Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TothPalmi 1.83/Toth 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Toth · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Palmi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 12:30I. Palmi47612118102J. Toth531110911123
WAug 15 · 10:00I. Palmi3911116113J. Toth32781161
WAug 7 · 10:30I. Palmi3951211113J. Toth361110781
LJun 17 · 13:30I. Palmi32781161J. Toth4211119113
WJun 17 · 12:00I. Palmi50119811113J. Toth4131111882
LMay 30 · 17:00I. Palmi30511951J. Toth3911611113
WMay 30 · 16:30I. Palmi331111113J. Toth155460
LMay 17 · 13:00I. Palmi35791541J. Toth46111113113
LMay 17 · 11:00I. Palmi31691151J. Toth4111118113
WSep 25 · 10:30I. Palmi50111711113J. Toth43819881
I. Palmi10
LSep 18 · 10:00A. Kanak1.611191311113I. Palmi2.2081115872WSep 9 · 13:01I. Palmi1.6711912113Z. Luksa2.109111041LSep 9 · 12:30J. Toth2.101110911123I. Palmi1.67612118102WSep 9 · 11:30I. Palmi2.001311113Z. Luksa1.7311960LSep 9 · 10:30I. Kolenciak1.53411812113I. Palmi2.38119111072LSep 6 · 13:30A. Kanak1.401111113I. Palmi2.758640LSep 6 · 12:30A. Kanak1.80111011113I. Palmi1.91712591WSep 6 · 11:30I. Palmi3.0011511113I. Kolenciak1.36711781WSep 6 · 10:30D. Vavrecka1.8011971192I. Palmi1.91811117113WAug 26 · 16:58I. Palmi1.531111113J. Foltynek2.383470
J. Toth10
WSep 18 · 10:30J. Toth2.001111113I. Kolenciak1.739930WSep 9 · 13:30I. Kolenciak1.6166111362J. Toth2.201111511113WSep 9 · 12:30J. Toth2.101110911123I. Palmi1.67612118102LSep 9 · 11:00J. Toth1.9181191142I. Kolenciak1.80115117113WSep 9 · 10:00Z. Luksa1.36411971J. Toth3.0011511113LAug 23 · 09:30J. Toth2.63711331Z. Luksa1.4411711113WAug 23 · 08:30A. Kanak1.615980J. Toth2.201111113WAug 23 · 07:30J. Toth2.201111310113D. Vavrecka1.6189111242WAug 23 · 06:30Z. Luksa1.4091171182J. Toth2.75115118113LAug 15 · 12:59J. Toth1.3710970J. Foltynek2.871211113
Upcoming Matches
I. Palmi
J. Toth
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.