TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13146914
Played Sep 18Finished
Ivan Kolenciak
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118118811119––
Alois Kanak
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Kolenciak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Kolenciak above · Alois Kanak below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 77 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Ivan Kolenciak at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Kolenciak 6–3 Alois Kanak Alois Kanak has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:27What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kolenciak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Kolenciak
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolenciak 1158 vs Kanak 1209
Kanak
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolenciak 20% vs Kanak 40%
Kanak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolenciak 50% vs Kanak 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolenciak -1 · Kanak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolenciak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanak form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolenciak 1.80 / Kanak 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kolenciak)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13146914
Kolenciak1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite52% won 25 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it71% 20 of 28
Kanak1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog36% won 24 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKolenciak6wins
AwayKanak3wins
Kolenciak leads 6–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolenciak100%5 of 5
AwayKanak75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolenciak5Kanak4n = 9Kolenciak took 5 of 9
S2Kolenciak6Kanak3n = 9Kolenciak took 6 of 9
S3Kolenciak5Kanak3n = 8Kolenciak took 5 of 8
S4Kolenciak2Kanak2n = 4split evenly
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home333%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricKolenciakKanakKolenciak − KanakBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match33.332.4+0.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolenciakKanakBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 189 vs 116 / 24945.5%46.6%86 / 189 vs 116 / 249Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolenciakKolenciak 1.80/Kanak 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kolenciak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolenciak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 6 · 10:00I. Kolenciak327111041A. Kanak4111712113
LMar 8 · 10:00I. Kolenciak165830A. Kanak331111113
WMar 8 · 08:00I. Kolenciak331111113A. Kanak133460
WOct 5 · 11:00I. Kolenciak381116113A. Kanak3291490
LSep 30 · 13:30I. Kolenciak30841171A. Kanak4211119113
WSep 26 · 10:00I. Kolenciak43111110113A. Kanak35791271
WSep 20 · 08:30I. Kolenciak4181111113A. Kanak31115691
I. Kolenciak10
LSep 18 · 12:30I. Palmi2.2511715113I. Kolenciak1.572111381LSep 18 · 10:30J. Toth2.001111113I. Kolenciak1.739930WSep 12 · 17:01M. Blaha1.2861161252I. Kolenciak3.301161110113LSep 12 · 16:30I. Kolenciak1.739760Z. Luksa2.001111113LSep 12 · 15:00I. Kolenciak3.40691161R. Adamczyk1.3011116113LSep 12 · 14:00M. Blaha1.361511113I. Kolenciak3.0013730LSep 9 · 13:30I. Kolenciak1.6166111362J. Toth2.201111511113WSep 9 · 12:00Z. Luksa1.83111191192I. Kolenciak1.83361113113WSep 9 · 11:00J. Toth1.9181191142I. Kolenciak1.80115117113WSep 9 · 10:30I. Kolenciak1.53411812113I. Palmi2.38119111072
A. Kanak10
WSep 18 · 12:00A. Kanak1.831911109113J. Toth1.83177121162WSep 18 · 10:00A. Kanak1.611191311113I. Palmi2.2081115872WSep 14 · 21:02M. Blaha1.80711931A. Kanak1.9111611113LSep 14 · 20:30A. Kanak2.7511561162M. Blaha1.40611115113LSep 14 · 19:00A. Kanak1.6710990T. Navrat2.101211113LSep 14 · 18:00R. Adamczyk1.401111113A. Kanak2.756470WSep 6 · 13:30A. Kanak1.401111113I. Palmi2.758640WSep 6 · 12:30A. Kanak1.80111011113I. Palmi1.91712591WSep 6 · 11:00A. Kanak1.6711711173D. Vavrecka2.108112151WSep 6 · 10:00I. Kolenciak1.577111041A. Kanak2.2511712113
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