TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13126300
Played Sep 14Finished
Alois Kanak
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012911911––––
Tomas Navrat
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:11 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeAlois Kanak to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAlois Kanak above · Tomas Navrat below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 62 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Alois Kanak at 59.3%
62 points played in total.
H2H Alois Kanak 10–6 Tomas Navrat Tomas Navrat has won 6 of their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:11What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kanak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-6 in 16
Kanak
Wrong
gap of 4 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kanak 1199 vs Navrat 1244
Navrat
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanak 80% vs Navrat 40%
Kanak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanak 70% vs Navrat 30%
Kanak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanak -1 · Navrat +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kanak) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanak 1.67 / Navrat 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kanak)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13126300
Kanak1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite44% won 24 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it72% 21 of 29
Navrat2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog25% won 6 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back25% 4 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKanak5wins
AwayNavrat5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKanak80%4 of 5
AwayNavrat80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanak5Navrat5n = 10split evenly
S2Kanak5Navrat5n = 10split evenly
S3Kanak2Navrat8n = 10Navrat took 8 of 10
S4Kanak4Navrat4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKanakNavratK − NBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.837.4−0.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKanakNavratBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 247 vs 24 / 6246.6%38.7%115 / 247 vs 24 / 62Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakKanak 1.67/Navrat 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Navrat won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 19:00A. Kanak2810990T. Navrat341211113
LJul 3 · 20:00A. Kanak31911561T. Navrat4211911113
WJun 5 · 21:00A. Kanak4211119113T. Navrat33781171
WJun 5 · 18:30A. Kanak4413128113T. Navrat4011101181
WApr 14 · 19:00A. Kanak4151114113T. Navrat351171251
WApr 12 · 19:00A. Kanak45115711113T. Navrat4391111572
WMar 16 · 19:00A. Kanak49119117113T. Navrat3991141142
LMar 9 · 18:30A. Kanak30711481T. Navrat3511211113
LMar 9 · 15:00A. Kanak215970T. Navrat331111113
LFeb 7 · 21:30A. Kanak371181081T. Navrat4061112113
A. Kanak10
LSep 14 · 18:00R. Adamczyk1.401111113A. Kanak2.756470WSep 6 · 13:30A. Kanak1.401111113I. Palmi2.758640WSep 6 · 12:30A. Kanak1.80111011113I. Palmi1.91712591WSep 6 · 11:00A. Kanak1.6711711173D. Vavrecka2.108112151WSep 6 · 10:00I. Kolenciak1.577111041A. Kanak2.2511712113LAug 29 · 21:30A. Kanak2.501176111M. Blaha1.4071111133WAug 29 · 20:30M. Stolba2.0051391182A. Kanak1.731111116113WAug 29 · 19:30A. Kanak3.0011114113M. Blaha1.36951171WAug 29 · 18:30D. Vavrecka1.7311961342A. Kanak2.003111111113LAug 26 · 17:29A. Kanak1.721171041S. Blabla2.0081112113
T. Navrat10
WSep 14 · 18:30T. Navrat1.53713811113M. Blaha2.38111111882LAug 20 · 21:14M. Derco2.0281111113T. Navrat1.70118461LAug 20 · 20:00V. Rybar1.3613811113T. Navrat3.001111661WAug 20 · 19:00M. Derco1.83118121192T. Navrat1.831311106113LAug 20 · 18:30T. Navrat1.36113581M. Blaha3.0091111113LJul 17 · 21:05V. Rybar1.441111113T. Navrat2.638490LJul 17 · 20:00V. Rybar2.0091111113T. Navrat1.73119661WJul 17 · 19:00V. Kocian1.67119911102T. Navrat2.10911119123LJul 17 · 18:30T. Navrat2.10611111082P. Banot1.67119912113LJul 3 · 21:30T. Navrat1.53119111192R. Adamczyk2.38911135113
Upcoming Matches
A. Kanak
T. Navrat
Nothing scheduled
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