TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Jaroslav Prokupek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811115911113117
Tomas Dousa
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Prokupek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Prokupek above · Tomas Dousa below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 87 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Jaroslav Prokupek at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Prokupek 34–27 Tomas Dousa Tomas Dousa has won 27 of their 61 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:34What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Dousa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-27 in 61
Prokupek
Correct
gap of 7 in 61, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prokupek 1452 vs Dousa 1467
Dousa
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prokupek 20% vs Dousa 0%
Prokupek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prokupek 30% vs Dousa 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prokupek +1 · Dousa -7
Dousa
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dousa) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dousa form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkupek 1.83 / Dousa 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dousa)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13165673
Prokupek1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Dousa1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProkupek4wins
AwayDousa6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDousa leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProkupek66.7%2 of 3
AwayDousa71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prokupek3Dousa7n = 10Dousa took 7 of 10
S2Prokupek3Dousa7n = 10Dousa took 7 of 10
S3Prokupek2Dousa8n = 10Dousa took 8 of 10
S4Prokupek4Dousa2n = 6Prokupek took 4 of 6
S5Prokupek3Dousa1n = 4Prokupek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricProkupekDousaP − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.240.1−4.9per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkupekDousaBasisWin rate · lifetime668 / 1404 vs 345 / 70047.6%49.3%668 / 1404 vs 345 / 700Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DousaProkupek 1.83/Dousa 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dousa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Prokupek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 19:00J. Prokupek49971111113T. Dousa4611116992
LSep 8 · 21:28J. Prokupek2284100T. Dousa341111123
LSep 8 · 20:00J. Prokupek214890T. Dousa331111113
WAug 24 · 20:30J. Prokupek50111117113T. Dousa44891981
LMay 26 · 15:30J. Prokupek132650T. Dousa331111113
LMay 15 · 23:00J. Prokupek47117101182T. Dousa49711128113
LMay 15 · 15:00J. Prokupek1910450T. Dousa341211113
WApr 26 · 15:00J. Prokupek51118129113T. Dousa43511101162
LApr 11 · 16:30J. Prokupek31813281T. Dousa44111111113
WApr 7 · 16:00J. Prokupek49811811113T. Dousa4111711392
J. Prokupek10
WSep 21 · 18:00Y. Holovatiuk1.83111375102J. Prokupek1.837111111123LSep 21 · 02:00V. Postelt1.7311127123J. Prokupek2.0081011101LSep 21 · 24:30J. Prokupek2.251111771D. Kouble1.5731311113LSep 20 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.381115591R. Krejci1.5371711113LSep 20 · 22:00P. Zmuda1.501111113J. Prokupek2.509870LSep 20 · 03:00R. Pavelka1.7391111143J. Prokupek2.001158121LSep 20 · 02:00J. Trefny1.7311411143J. Prokupek2.009117121LSep 20 · 24:30J. Prokupek2.205750D. Kouble1.611111113WSep 19 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.501112113P. Budinsky1.5071060WSep 19 · 22:00R. Pavelka1.611165101J. Prokupek2.2061111123
T. Dousa10
WSep 21 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk2.631211111032T. Dousa1.44148712113LSep 21 · 18:30T. Dousa1.738980L. Krok2.001111113LSep 14 · 20:58M. Sedlak1.251111113T. Dousa3.757480LSep 14 · 20:00T. Janata1.501212113T. Dousa2.50101090LSep 14 · 19:00M. Sedlak1.20891111113T. Dousa4.3311118982LSep 14 · 18:30T. Dousa1.8313961122L. Krticka1.831111118113LSep 12 · 03:30T. Janata1.5261111113T. Dousa2.35119991LSep 12 · 01:30T. Dousa2.381011911112T. Janata1.53127118133WSep 12 · 24:30Y. Holovatiuk2.63121155122T. Dousa1.441041111143LSep 11 · 23:30J. Dedek1.83911811163T. Dousa1.83117117142
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