TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13126200
Played Sep 14Finished
Marek Sedlak
Home
1.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811911118119118
Tomas Dousa
Away
4.33
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:32 and never touched — 75.5% is still 75.5%
Graded at full timeMarek Sedlak to win
75.5%
75.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Sedlak above · Tomas Dousa below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 97 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Marek Sedlak at 75.5%
97 points played in total.
H2H Marek Sedlak 4–0 Tomas Dousa Tomas Dousa has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:32What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Sedlak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Sedlak
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sedlak 1475 vs Dousa 1498
Dousa
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sedlak 40% vs Dousa 20%
Sedlak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sedlak 30% vs Dousa 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sedlak -1 · Dousa -3
Dousa
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Sedlak) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sedlak form (40%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedlak 1.20 / Dousa 4.33
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Sedlak)-2.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13126200
Sedlak1.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite33% won 6 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it75% 6 of 8
Dousa4.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 44 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back23% 15 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSedlak4wins
AwayDousa0wins
1 of 4 to a deciderSedlak leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSedlak100%3 of 3
AwayDousan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sedlak3Dousa1n = 4Sedlak took 3 of 4
S2Sedlak2Dousa2n = 4split evenly
S3Sedlak4Dousa0n = 4Sedlak took 4 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSedlakDousaS − DBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match39.233.5+5.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedlakDousaBasisWin rate · lifetime65 / 140 vs 350 / 71046.4%49.3%65 / 140 vs 350 / 710Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SedlakSedlak 1.20/Dousa 4.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.1%
Sedlak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sedlak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 14 · 19:00M. Sedlak50891111113T. Dousa4711118982
WSep 10 · 16:59M. Sedlak331111113T. Dousa268990
WSep 10 · 16:30M. Sedlak4112411143T. Dousa3910116121
WSep 7 · 14:30M. Sedlak331111113T. Dousa228860
M. Sedlak10
LSep 14 · 18:00T. Janata1.8311113113M. Sedlak1.83871161WSep 10 · 16:59T. Dousa3.508990M. Sedlak1.281111113WSep 10 · 16:30M. Sedlak1.4012411143T. Dousa2.7510116121LSep 10 · 15:00M. Sedlak1.5061030M. Kolar2.501112113LSep 10 · 14:00M. Vedmoch1.61121111113M. Sedlak2.20146751LSep 9 · 16:59M. Vedmoch1.73111310113M. Sedlak2.008111281LSep 9 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.671211113M. Sedlak2.1010640LSep 9 · 15:30M. Sedlak1.80118541M. Vedmoch1.9181111113LSep 9 · 14:30J. Stolfa1.674121111113M. Sedlak2.1011148962WSep 7 · 17:30M. Vedmoch1.7721111101M. Sedlak1.9311513123
T. Dousa10
LSep 14 · 18:30T. Dousa1.8313961122L. Krticka1.831111118113LSep 12 · 03:30T. Janata1.5261111113T. Dousa2.35119991LSep 12 · 01:30T. Dousa2.381011911112T. Janata1.53127118133WSep 12 · 24:30Y. Holovatiuk2.63121155122T. Dousa1.441041111143LSep 11 · 23:30J. Dedek1.83911811163T. Dousa1.83117117142WSep 11 · 22:30T. Dousa1.831112113J. Plachy1.8371090WSep 11 · 20:58T. Dousa2.1091112113J. Plachy1.671191081LSep 11 · 20:00T. Janata1.50811611143T. Dousa2.50119115122LSep 10 · 16:59T. Dousa3.508990M. Sedlak1.281111113LSep 10 · 16:30M. Sedlak1.4012411143T. Dousa2.7510116121
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